NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	2.7 [1220]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): +5.2%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.3 [417]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -9.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Singletary	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.12	10	68%	0.06	4	-0.08	18	89%	0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.10	13	77%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	75%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	41%	0.02	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Demetris Nichols	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	34.1	15.4	26.1	2.4	26.5	133.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.7%

PHX -7.2%

CHI +12.4%

CHI +16.4%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.5	90.2	107.5	106.4
season	14.1	14.8		112.1	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	19.0	15.6	17.1	14.8	16.6
CHI	13.8	13.8	15.0	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Singletary	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-20	23	15.7	16.7	-1.06	17.3	14.1	3.20
Robin Lopez	57	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-11	5	17.1	15.7	1.33	15.4	13.4	2.04
Steve Nash	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-7	-3	17.9	15.3	2.63	15.0	14.1	0.90
Raja Bell	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-11	5	17.3	15.5	1.85	14.8	14.2	0.56
Grant Hill	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-2	-13	18.3	15.2	3.11	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Lou Amundson	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-7	-3	15.3	17.9	-2.61	14.9	14.3	0.66
Goran Dragic	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-10	3	15.3	17.9	-2.63	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Leandro Barbosa	33	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-3	-11	15.7	17.1	-1.40	13.2	15.4	-2.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	17.0	15.4	1.59	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Boris Diaw	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-10	3	15.4	18.4	-3.04	14.4	14.8	-0.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	60	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-3	23	13.7	16.2	-2.53	16.8	16.2	0.55
Ben Gordon	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	0	17	13.6	17.0	-3.36	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Derrick Rose	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	6	5	14.4	15.7	-1.29	17.0	14.1	2.91
Tyrus Thomas	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	9	-1	14.1	15.3	-1.16	15.5	18.0	-2.54
Andres Nocioni	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	6	5	15.3	14.2	1.08	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Luol Deng	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	14.2	15.3	-1.08	17.1	15.7	1.36
Kirk Hinrich	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	9	-1	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.8	16.4	0.41
Drew Gooden	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	8	1	14.5	14.7	-0.19	17.9	15.5	2.42
Aaron Gray	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	21	-25	16.7	13.7	2.94	16.7	16.5	0.25
Thabo Sefolosha	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	20.4	14.0	6.34	14.9	16.7	-1.85
Demetris Nichols	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	24.0	14.3	9.73	11.7	16.7	-5.06
Cedric Simmons	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	24.0	14.3	9.73	11.7	16.7	-5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
GSW 89, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 80, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%