NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	122		Excitement	4.3 [943]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +21.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.4 [1093]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -9.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.05	0.02	15	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
David West	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	13	79%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	74%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	11	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	8	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	15	62%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.02	15	72%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.03	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	24.9	15.8	24.5	2.3	30.5	124.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +9.7%

NOH +3.4%

NOH +27.0%

NOH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.4	137.1	101.1	105.7
season	15.9	15.9		109.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.7		109.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.1	17.8	15.6	13.8	15.8
MIN	16.6	17.4	17.1	15.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	58	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.38	32	0	32	15.0	17.2	-2.16	17.2	15.5	1.72
David West	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	13	6	16.2	14.3	1.97	16.7	16.3	0.42
Peja Stojakovic	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	7	18	15.4	16.6	-1.16	17.2	15.1	2.16
Chris Paul	61	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.35	27	5	22	15.7	16.0	-0.31	16.6	16.5	0.10
Morris Peterson	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	19	-6	15.9	15.6	0.28	16.7	16.6	0.13
Bonzi Wells	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	27	-22	17.0	15.1	1.95	16.1	16.9	-0.78
Jannero Pargo	34	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.44	18	14	4	15.1	16.1	-0.98	16.7	16.6	0.13
Julian Wright	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.20	9	23	-14	16.4	15.3	1.07	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Ryan Bowen	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.21	8	24	-16	15.1	15.9	-0.89	16.3	16.7	-0.34
Mike James	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	28	-24	10.0	16.2	-6.24	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Melvin Ely	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	26	-20	9.8	16.4	-6.65	15.5	16.7	-1.25
Hilton Armstrong	22	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	38	-44	20.2	14.3	5.88	15.4	16.9	-1.49

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-26	20	15.5	16.7	-1.25	9.8	16.4	-6.65
Chris Richard	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-26	20	16.8	16.5	0.37	16.4	15.4	1.02
Corey Brewer	37	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.40	-16	-16	0	17.2	16.2	0.95	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Craig Smith	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-29	26	16.9	16.4	0.48	18.3	14.5	3.74
Randy Foye	67	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.39	-18	-14	-4	16.3	17.5	-1.13	15.8	15.5	0.34
Rashad McCants	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-15	-2	17.2	15.8	1.35	16.4	14.8	1.62
Ryan Gomes	45	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	-11	-10	16.3	16.9	-0.60	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Kirk Snyder	62	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.21	-22	-10	-12	16.1	17.8	-1.68	15.3	16.6	-1.24
Al Jefferson	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.30	-28	-4	-24	16.7	16.4	0.36	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Marko Jaric	48	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.07	-23	-9	-14	16.6	16.6	0.04	16.0	15.4	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 127, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
GSW 105, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0	95.2%