NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	107		Excitement	8.0 [220]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +22.1%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.6 [653]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	19	56%	0.14	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	16	65%	0.13	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.03
Jermareo Davidson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.01	20	52%	0.03	1	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Earl Boykins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	0.01	3	-0.13	2	50%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.02	11	50%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.06	-0.04	8	94%	0.33	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	37%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.2	1.8	28.2	17.4	23.6	3.4	31.2	124.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +64.0%

CHA -16.7%

CHA -9.4%

NYK +7.2%

NYK +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.4	111.5	114.7	105.7
season	15.8	15.7		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	15.0	12.4	16.6	14.6
NYK	16.5	13.2	17.1	15.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	20	20	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-4	6	15.1	14.5	0.59	13.3	16.1	-2.76
Jermareo Davidson	20	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-4	6	14.0	14.8	-0.74	17.4	15.1	2.37
Nazr Mohammed	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	3	-8	15.2	14.2	1.00	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Raymond Felton	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-7	12	14.6	14.7	-0.04	15.7	14.3	1.42
Matt Carroll	80	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.9	13.6	2.36
Emeka Okafor	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-4	6	14.6	14.6	-0.00	15.9	14.7	1.17
Jason Richardson	83	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-2	2	14.7	14.5	0.20	15.7	14.5	1.17
Jared Dudley	56	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	14.0	15.5	-1.44	16.0	14.9	1.11
Earl Boykins	38	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	8	-18	15.4	14.1	1.34	14.4	16.3	-1.89

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	48	48	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-10	22	14.3	16.8	-2.54	15.7	13.5	2.19
Renaldo Balkman	34	35	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-7	16	14.1	16.3	-2.29	15.3	14.2	1.11
Fred Jones	38	38	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-7	16	14.6	16.2	-1.58	15.4	14.1	1.26
Mardy Collins	28	28	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	14.6	15.9	-1.30	16.2	14.0	2.23
Nate Robinson	40	39	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	14.6	16.2	-1.51	15.1	14.3	0.79
Malik Rose	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	0	2	13.9	15.9	-1.93	16.8	14.2	2.57
Jamal Crawford	56	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	4	-6	16.3	14.4	1.89	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Zach Randolph	51	53	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	8	-14	16.6	14.2	2.38	13.9	15.5	-1.54
Quentin Richardson	57	58	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	9	-16	16.2	14.6	1.58	14.1	15.4	-1.26
David Lee	59	60	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.11	-11	13	-24	16.2	14.5	1.70	13.8	16.0	-2.23
Jared Jeffries	47	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	12	-22	16.8	14.3	2.54	13.5	15.7	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 110, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	92.1%
GSW 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.57,0.84,1	91.1%
PHX 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	90.5%