NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	117		Excitement	3.2 [1147]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	1.3 [1208]		LVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): -5.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.23	0.01	0.06	17	78%	0.20	2	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.01	-0.07	18	46%	0.11	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	47%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	0.07	18	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	34.2	16.4	22.6	2.5	31.3	133.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.2%

DEN +11.8%

DEN +13.4%

DEN +8.7%

DEN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.0	16.5	15.4	119.4	102.1	105.7
season	13.3	15.6		108.2	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	10.4	13.5	14.2	13.0
LAC	15.8	17.3	16.5	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.34	28	-10	38	13.2	12.3	0.84	16.6	16.2	0.45
Kenyon Martin	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	0	18	12.6	13.6	-1.01	16.5	16.6	-0.09
Marcus Camby	68	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-2	22	13.2	12.5	0.75	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Carmelo Anthony	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.18	19	-1	20	12.7	13.6	-0.88	16.6	16.3	0.30
Linas Kleiza	54	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	6	6	12.2	14.0	-1.78	16.6	16.4	0.19
J.R. Smith	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	9	0	13.6	12.6	1.02	16.4	16.6	-0.27
Eduardo Najera	44	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.26	14	4	10	12.5	13.5	-0.99	17.0	16.1	0.87
Anthony Carter	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.37	-9	27	-36	13.3	12.5	0.86	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Steven Hunter	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	29	-40	14.8	12.8	1.94	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Yakhouba Diawara	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	28	-38	15.2	12.8	2.43	16.3	16.6	-0.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-28	38	16.3	16.6	-0.26	15.2	12.8	2.43
Nick Fazekas	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-27	36	15.0	16.7	-1.67	14.4	12.9	1.47
Quinton Ross	48	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-17	16	16.1	16.9	-0.77	13.9	12.2	1.63
Smush Parker	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-11	4	16.7	16.5	0.20	13.6	12.7	0.96
Brevin Knight	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-6	-6	16.1	16.9	-0.75	13.3	12.8	0.46
Josh Powell	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.28	-18	0	-18	16.6	16.5	0.06	12.0	13.4	-1.34
Tim Thomas	44	45	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.3	16.7	-0.44	12.3	13.6	-1.31
Dan Dickau	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-11	4	16.5	16.6	-0.09	12.8	13.3	-0.45
Elton Brand	73	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	0	-18	16.8	15.8	0.93	12.7	13.9	-1.18
Cuttino Mobley	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-4	-10	16.9	15.6	1.36	13.0	13.2	-0.23
Al Thornton	79	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	3	-24	16.7	15.7	1.07	12.9	13.6	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, MIN 71	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
IND 102, NOH 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
HOU 128, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%