NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	4.1 [971]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +17.9%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.8 [820]		LVP	Glen Davis (BOS): -3.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.05	-0.05	14	52%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	16	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.03
Julian Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.04	0.06	11	77%	0.21	1	-0.03	13	100%	0.06
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	10	77%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	15	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.5	29.4	16.6	28.3	2.7	28.2	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.9%

BOS +11.8%

BOS +2.6%

BOS +5.3%

NOH -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.4	104.5	125.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		109.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.0	17.2	17.6	14.9	16.6
BOS	14.3	16.3	17.6	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	15	15	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-25	30	16.1	16.7	-0.57	17.8	15.6	2.23
Chris Andersen	22	22	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-22	24	16.2	16.7	-0.56	16.3	15.8	0.50
Mike James	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	15.2	16.7	-1.49	19.0	15.8	3.20
Ryan Bowen	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	14.0	16.7	-2.69	17.3	15.9	1.44
Jannero Pargo	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-16	12	16.3	16.9	-0.57	16.9	15.0	1.96
Bonzi Wells	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-13	6	15.9	17.4	-1.44	16.8	15.0	1.78
Morris Peterson	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.10	-14	-6	-8	17.9	16.0	1.93	15.2	16.3	-1.14
Peja Stojakovic	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	-2	-16	17.0	15.1	1.91	15.1	19.1	-4.02
David West	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	-7	-6	16.4	17.2	-0.78	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Tyson Chandler	63	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.06	-24	4	-28	16.8	16.0	0.84	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Chris Paul	74	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	0.05	-25	5	-30	16.7	16.2	0.46	15.4	18.9	-3.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	66	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.13	28	-8	36	15.9	16.0	-0.13	17.0	15.5	1.48
Rajon Rondo	63	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.13	28	-8	36	15.6	16.8	-1.22	17.5	14.6	2.95
Kevin Garnett	65	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.24	26	-6	32	15.3	17.6	-2.30	17.5	14.3	3.24
Ray Allen	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	1	18	16.6	15.2	1.43	17.6	15.4	2.11
Kendrick Perkins	40	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	6	8	15.4	16.4	-0.94	17.3	16.0	1.23
Leon Powe	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	17.0	15.2	1.73	15.3	17.5	-2.15
Tony Allen	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	18	-16	15.3	16.4	-1.09	15.6	17.4	-1.86
Sam Cassell	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	20	-20	3.0	16.1	-13.09	0.0	16.6	-16.60
P.J. Brown	17	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	26	-32	17.4	15.6	1.81	16.9	16.5	0.43
Glen Davis	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	28	-36	17.5	15.7	1.78	15.4	16.8	-1.37
James Posey	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	29	-38	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.6	17.5	-2.87
Eddie House	29	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	29	-38	16.0	15.9	0.08	14.4	17.6	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 104, SAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 112, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,1	94.7%