NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	9.0 [114]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +38.0%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	2.1 [314]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -17.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.38	0.13	0.26	0.01	9	71%	0.38	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Bobby Jackson	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.11	0.20	-0.00	10	73%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.01	7	85%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Michael Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	23	53%	0.17	5	-0.20	3	67%	-0.00
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	44%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	15	38%	-0.04	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.13	-0.02	23	53%	0.31	5	-0.17	5	40%	-0.05
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.01	15	69%	0.23	4	-0.20	5	80%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	19	41%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	16	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.8	17.5	22.4	2.5	41.3	138.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.6%

HOU +27.8%

GSW -6.5%

GSW -1.7%

HOU +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.4	116.0	111.6	105.7
season	16.2	13.5		104.6	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.9	19.5	15.0	14.4	16.8
GSW	15.4	13.2	16.3	10.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.51	1	2	-1	16.3	19.3	-3.05	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Bobby Jackson	50	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-3	9	16.7	16.9	-0.23	11.9	15.8	-3.94
Carl Landry	39	38	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	0	3	15.9	17.4	-1.48	12.8	14.3	-1.52
Shane Battier	76	77	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	3	-3	16.2	19.3	-3.18	13.9	13.1	0.76
Rafer Alston	78	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	-1	5	16.9	16.3	0.55	13.6	14.1	-0.48
Michael Harris	15	14	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-5	13	18.2	16.5	1.71	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Luther Head	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	5	-7	16.7	16.8	-0.09	15.2	11.3	3.91
Charles Hayes	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	21.0	16.4	4.57	15.0	13.6	1.37
Luis Scola	66	68	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	11	-19	17.8	14.4	3.43	14.3	12.3	1.95

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	17.7	13.5	4.21	19.0	16.6	2.36
Kelenna Azubuike	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	9.8	14.6	-4.75	16.5	16.8	-0.32
Al Harrington	71	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-3	3	14.0	12.9	1.08	17.3	15.2	2.04
Andris Biedrins	42	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-3	3	12.4	14.8	-2.45	16.8	16.7	0.15
Mickael Pietrus	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.2	12.1	2.13	16.4	17.9	-1.46
Baron Davis	87	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-4	5	13.5	16.2	-2.76	16.6	18.9	-2.31
Monta Ellis	86	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	3	-9	14.3	8.2	6.08	16.7	17.6	-0.87
Stephen Jackson	93	92	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.50	-7	4	-11	13.9	6.0	7.89	16.8	15.5	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.41,0.22,0.08,0.36,0.23,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 107, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.6,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.21,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.26,0	92.1%
UTA 97, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.15,0.05,0	92.0%
UTA 92, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0	91.9%