NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	2.7 [184]		MVP	Sam Cassell (BOS): +24.7%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	17.8 [42]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -11.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.25	0.02	0.23	0.00	13	59%	0.33	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.13	0.04	13	69%	0.27	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.06
Eddie House	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.1	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	4	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	18	53%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	15	55%	0.03	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.2,0.12	0.12	0.19	-0.03	0.04	18	73%	0.30	2	-0.17	8	100%	0.07
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	34.1	15.8	28.1	2.4	42.0	149.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.1%

BOS +1.2%

BOS +6.7%

BOS +13.0%

BOS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAS	NBA	BOS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	18.0	15.4	105.7	104.6	105.7
season	15.6	16.5		108.0	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.9		100.5	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.1	12.4	14.6	15.3	15.0
SAS	18.9	16.9	18.8	17.5	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	72	71	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.57	5	-3	8	14.8	15.8	-1.02	17.6	19.3	-1.66
Sam Cassell	53	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	13.8	16.7	-2.88	17.3	18.9	-1.61
Eddie House	32	31	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-6	14	14.3	15.4	-1.04	18.0	17.9	0.07
Paul Pierce	79	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	5	-8	15.7	8.6	7.15	18.3	14.8	3.54
Rajon Rondo	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	2	-2	15.3	14.5	0.80	18.0	17.9	0.16
Kendrick Perkins	35	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	5	-8	16.7	13.8	2.88	18.9	17.3	1.61
Glen Davis	10	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	1	0	14.3	15.1	-0.76	19.0	17.8	1.20
Tony Allen	46	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	7	-12	15.4	14.5	0.82	18.3	17.6	0.65
James Posey	33	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	0	2	12.5	16.4	-3.89	16.9	18.7	-1.79
P.J. Brown	6	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	6	-10	18.3	14.7	3.60	20.0	17.8	2.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	26	25	0.49	-0.99	1.49	0.23	9	-11	20	18.2	17.8	0.39	17.8	13.9	3.94
Robert Horry	25	24	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.03	13	-15	28	16.3	18.6	-2.35	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Jacque Vaughn	25	28	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.06	9	-11	20	17.3	18.2	-0.95	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Ime Udoka	42	42	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.38	19	-21	40	16.5	19.3	-2.77	17.1	13.0	4.10
Fabricio Oberto	31	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-1	0	19.2	17.2	1.98	14.7	15.1	-0.36
Manu Ginobili	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	16.6	21.2	-4.67	15.1	14.7	0.34
Michael Finley	48	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	16	-34	19.2	16.4	2.84	13.9	16.3	-2.44
Tim Duncan	61	64	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.65	-6	4	-10	18.0	17.9	0.04	15.1	14.6	0.48
Tony Parker	67	67	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.44	-15	13	-28	18.4	16.3	2.15	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Bruce Bowen	49	49	-1.12	0.62	-1.74	-0.39	-25	23	-48	19.2	16.3	2.91	13.9	16.3	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.68,0.58,0	89.5%
NOH 93, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.42,0	88.9%
HOU 103, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.58,0	88.4%