NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	2.3 [1272]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (PHX): +14.3%
Phoenix Suns	127		Comeback	1.1 [1169]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -6.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	6	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	22	53%	0.03	4	-0.05	5	40%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	-0.14	9	22%	-0.01	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	14	79%	0.17	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.06	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	15	67%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	6	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	95%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.13	0.00	0.12	8	89%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	29.3	16.4	28.3	2.3	29.6	138.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.6%

PHX +1.7%

PHX +6.1%

PHX +4.7%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	15.4	98.0	123.3	105.7
season	14.9	13.8		105.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.9	16.7	12.8	14.8	14.3
PHX	13.8	11.6	15.4	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-24	20	13.9	14.3	-0.40	13.6	14.1	-0.46
Shelden Williams	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.27	-10	-18	8	14.4	14.2	0.19	13.6	14.1	-0.48
John Salmons	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-29	30	14.2	14.3	-0.17	15.0	13.1	1.90
Quincy Douby	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-21	14	14.5	14.1	0.36	15.2	13.3	1.90
Spencer Hawes	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-21	14	13.9	14.7	-0.80	14.6	13.3	1.23
Mikki Moore	40	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-22	16	13.4	14.8	-1.39	14.2	13.8	0.33
Brad Miller	39	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-12	-4	15.1	13.8	1.28	14.3	13.7	0.58
Francisco Garcia	49	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	-4	-20	14.7	13.8	0.87	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Metta World Peace	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.14	-19	-9	-10	14.0	14.8	-0.82	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Kevin Martin	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	-7	-14	14.1	14.5	-0.36	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Beno Udrih	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.34	-27	-1	-26	14.7	13.7	1.04	13.2	14.9	-1.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.59	37	-9	46	13.6	14.6	-1.06	14.6	13.7	0.93
Raja Bell	62	62	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	11	6	14.5	13.2	1.21	14.7	13.5	1.23
Gordan Giricek	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	6	16	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.5	13.7	0.80
Steve Nash	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.34	22	6	16	13.8	14.3	-0.49	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Boris Diaw	45	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	14	0	13.4	14.4	-0.93	15.2	13.6	1.58
Shaquille O'Neal	58	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	10	8	14.1	13.9	0.19	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Leandro Barbosa	62	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.28	16	12	4	14.2	13.6	0.56	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Grant Hill	28	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	20	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.5	14.5	-1.09
Eric Piatkowski	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	13.0	14.1	-1.08	13.5	14.4	-0.85
Sean Marks	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	13.0	14.1	-1.08	13.5	14.4	-0.85
DJ Strawberry	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	12.8	14.2	-1.37	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Brian Skinner	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.30	-11	39	-50	16.0	13.3	2.70	13.9	14.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
NYK 94, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
TOR 60, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%