NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	6.6 [462]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +6.2%
Miami Heat	88		Comeback	2.4 [596]		LVP	Mark Blount (MIA): -25.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06	0.03	0.06	0.03	18	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.05
Fred Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.00	21	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.03	12	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	7	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	17	39%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.09
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	14	29%	-0.19	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.5	26.5	16.4	23.4	2.4	33.5	128.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.7%

NYK +12.5%

MIA -25.4%

NYK +14.8%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.4	100.0	95.7	105.7
season	15.7	16.0		103.1	99.0
opponent	15.4	15.2		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	16.5	14.9	15.4	15.5
MIA	15.3	16.3	16.4	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	64	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-10	23	15.2	16.3	-1.14	16.7	14.5	2.13
Jamal Crawford	73	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-8	19	14.8	18.1	-3.26	15.4	18.6	-3.20
Zach Randolph	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-12	27	15.6	15.3	0.22	16.3	15.2	1.12
Jared Jeffries	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-9	21	14.9	15.9	-0.94	18.4	14.5	3.91
David Lee	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	3	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.49	15.1	18.3	-3.25
Mardy Collins	14	16	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	1	1	17.3	15.2	2.12	19.2	15.3	3.96
Nate Robinson	77	76	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.46	-16	19	-35	15.8	13.6	2.27	15.4	18.6	-3.13
Renaldo Balkman	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	11	-19	17.4	14.8	2.61	17.0	15.6	1.35
Wilson Chandler	36	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.27	-14	17	-31	15.4	15.6	-0.17	13.9	17.4	-3.54

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	33	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-11	19	15.9	16.0	-0.16	16.6	14.9	1.65
Mark Blount	69	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-14	25	14.9	19.2	-4.32	15.7	14.7	1.01
Alexander Johnson	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	3	-9	19.0	14.8	4.20	16.4	15.2	1.20
Bobby Jones	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	3	-9	17.9	14.8	3.11	17.8	14.2	3.55
Ricky Davis	79	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-6	9	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.1	18.0	-2.92
Jason Williams	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	4	-11	15.4	17.5	-2.07	14.1	19.1	-5.00
Daequan Cook	74	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	7	-17	16.0	15.7	0.32	15.8	13.9	1.97
Shawn Marion	80	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	5	-13	15.5	19.4	-3.95	14.9	19.5	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 79, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.14,0.25,0.12,0.03,0.08,0	93.0%
NJN 86, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.06,0.13,0	92.8%
HOU 97, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	92.8%