inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement2.5 [1259] MVPMehmet Okur (UTA): +12.0%
Utah Jazz 132 Comeback1.1 [1031] LVPAnthony Carter (DEN): -6.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allen Iverson0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.031764%0.112-0.031070%0.00
J.R. Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.041259%0.0210.00333%-0.00
Kenyon Martin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.05964%0.011-0.00475%-0.00
Taurean Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01233%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03764%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00737%-0.0200.002100%-0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.010.081557%0.013-0.051275%-0.02
Anthony Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.13-0.00-0.0640%-0.023-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.270.000.1511104%0.141-0.02475%-0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00970%0.1200.00580%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.015100%0.081-0.002100%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.031564%0.062-0.00650%-0.01
CJ Miles0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.041062%0.0400.001100%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.04862%0.043-0.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01458%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.000.03567%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011347%-0.003-0.04475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.529.212.829.21.628.4129.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +38.5%
UTA +1.4%
UTA +3.3%
UTA +5.2%
UTA +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game12.316.615.4106.1132.0105.7
season13.315.5108.2111.2
opponent15.015.2105.0105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.813.212.511.912.3
UTA13.917.417.518.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Green10110.00-0.500.500.000-27279.912.6-2.7115.416.7-1.38
Yakhouba Diawara2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-282911.812.5-0.6716.716.50.20
Kenyon Martin2019-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-231911.612.5-0.8615.316.9-1.64
Chucky Atkins4242-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-262511.912.6-0.7017.815.72.14
J.R. Smith5253-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-231912.012.7-0.6617.116.10.99
Eduardo Najera4950-0.25-0.250.010.14-13-14113.711.02.6116.916.30.66
Anthony Carter4545-0.26-0.24-0.020.41-23-4-1913.011.81.1816.216.9-0.79
Allen Iverson6264-0.29-0.21-0.080.36-22-5-1712.412.20.1916.416.9-0.51
Linas Kleiza6263-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-15311.913.1-1.1917.115.81.32
Marcus Camby6666-0.40-0.10-0.310.48-303-3312.412.30.0915.718.3-2.63
Carmelo Anthony6767-0.49-0.01-0.480.30-270-2712.512.00.4516.616.50.07

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams69690.51-0.010.53-0.4533-63916.416.9-0.4512.911.01.96
Mehmet Okur74730.410.090.32-0.272341917.115.21.9413.010.32.69
Carlos Boozer65640.400.100.30-0.4830-33315.917.9-2.0812.312.5-0.19
Paul Millsap64640.400.100.300.021314-117.015.91.0512.013.0-0.99
Kyle Korver48470.310.190.110.04918-917.715.52.1912.512.20.38
Ronnie Brewer52520.190.31-0.11-0.34189915.517.7-2.1912.212.5-0.38
Matt Harpring38380.150.35-0.200.12126-2517.216.21.0412.712.10.65
CJ Miles49490.140.36-0.21-0.271413115.917.2-1.2811.912.7-0.82
Jason Hart11100.000.50-0.500.00027-2715.416.7-1.389.912.6-2.71
Jarron Collins1090.000.50-0.500.00027-2715.916.7-0.7710.112.6-2.44
Ronnie Price2020-0.010.51-0.530.16-633-3917.716.31.4511.512.5-1.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 94, ATL 1210.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
MIL 106, TOR 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CLE 74, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%