NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	7.4 [319]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +17.0%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	8.7 [216]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -13.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.05	0.03	15	72%	0.28	3	-0.11	13	85%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.09,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.16	0.00	26	50%	0.24	4	-0.10	16	87%	0.10
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	10	74%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	10	79%	0.18	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	74%	0.13	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	17	57%	0.13	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	-0.03	23	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	19	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	28.7	15.5	30.5	2.8	39.3	145.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.7%

LAL +19.8%

LAL +12.0%

SAC -4.0%

SAC -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.2	15.4	112.5	100.0	105.7
season	14.6	14.9		110.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	13.8	14.3	12.3	13.4
SAC	13.6	15.0	12.9	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	69	68	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.19	17	-5	22	12.9	14.3	-1.46	13.7	15.1	-1.47
Pau Gasol	93	93	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-5	22	13.2	14.6	-1.41	14.2	14.2	0.02
Lamar Odom	87	91	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-2	16	13.1	14.8	-1.66	13.9	16.0	-2.10
Luke Walton	69	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	3	6	13.2	13.8	-0.64	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Kobe Bryant	95	95	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	1	10	13.1	16.4	-3.36	14.2	14.1	0.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	16	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	8	-4	15.1	13.1	2.07	15.5	13.9	1.61
Ronny Turiaf	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	15	-18	14.7	13.1	1.62	14.5	14.1	0.38
Sasha Vujacic	40	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	16	-20	14.1	12.9	1.22	14.8	13.8	1.05
Jordan Farmar	35	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	17	-22	14.3	12.9	1.46	15.1	13.7	1.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	21	21	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.18	0	-12	12	15.0	14.0	1.02	14.2	13.2	1.02
Anthony Johnson	26	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-14	16	15.8	13.6	2.16	14.4	13.1	1.31
Spencer Hawes	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-14	16	15.0	13.9	1.05	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Shelden Williams	9	11	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-13	14	15.8	14.0	1.75	15.1	13.2	1.92
Mikki Moore	60	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-14	16	13.3	15.3	-2.02	13.2	13.5	-0.30
John Salmons	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	15.1	13.0	2.18	13.8	12.9	0.87
Brad Miller	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	14.0	14.6	-0.59	13.5	13.0	0.47
Metta World Peace	88	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	2	-16	13.9	15.6	-1.75	13.5	12.8	0.66
Beno Udrih	79	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	2	-16	13.6	15.8	-2.16	13.1	14.4	-1.31
Kevin Martin	81	81	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.20	-20	8	-28	13.9	15.0	-1.06	12.6	16.3	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.47,0.16,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,0	92.6%
PHX 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.38,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	91.8%
MIA 103, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.21,0.43,0.16,0	91.3%