inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Excitement2.2 [1280] MVPTracy McGrady (HOU): +7.6%
Houston Rockets 116 Comeback1.0 [1285] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -8.9%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.031158%0.053-0.01956%-0.03
Javaris Crittenton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.051951%0.0100.00560%-0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.01861%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Brian Cardinal0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.02480%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Casey Jacobsen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Mike Conley-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02945%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Jason Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darko Milicic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.150.00-0.091525%-0.042-0.022100%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.011634%-0.072-0.0200%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.031862%0.112-0.03475%-0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.060.00-0.121342%0.083-0.0200%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01875%0.072-0.01475%-0.00
Shane Battier0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.02868%0.082-0.03367%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.002100%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02440%0.0200.002100%0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.120.000.105100%0.022-0.005100%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011150%0.0100.00887%0.01
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.05642%-0.004-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.60.832.215.027.32.626.7128.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +40.9%
HOU +6.8%
HOU +3.7%
MEM -1.8%
HOU +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMHOUNBAMEMHOUNBA
this game13.214.815.492.2112.6105.7
season14.916.2103.3104.6
opponent15.214.9100.3109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.413.412.512.313.2
HOU13.313.315.817.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Brown880.00-0.500.500.03-1-201914.113.11.0215.914.71.19
Casey Jacobsen1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-222312.913.2-0.3017.514.43.16
Kwame Brown1818-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-201913.613.10.4516.614.42.22
Darko Milicic4644-0.09-0.410.33-0.204-252912.014.1-2.1015.614.21.46
Jason Collins1213-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-15916.212.83.389.815.5-5.73
Javaris Crittenton7474-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-201912.614.8-2.1915.113.91.23
Kyle Lowry7172-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-252912.514.8-2.3614.814.60.19
Brian Cardinal4243-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-7-713.313.10.2114.714.8-0.18
Mike Conley3736-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-1-1913.613.00.6415.114.60.51
Juan Carlos Navarro5252-0.34-0.16-0.170.25-20-1-1913.812.51.2615.214.30.88
Hakim Warrick6564-0.47-0.03-0.440.27-254-2914.011.92.0913.616.8-3.21
Rudy Gay7778-0.510.01-0.510.26-265-3113.213.10.0914.416.0-1.67

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Scola62620.54-0.040.57-0.2527-63313.716.3-2.6013.712.41.36
Tracy McGrady65650.490.010.49-0.2124-32713.716.7-2.9813.612.51.04
Rafer Alston83820.470.030.44-0.152102114.515.8-1.3313.113.4-0.31
Shane Battier77780.360.140.22-0.08156915.412.92.5313.113.6-0.55
Dikembe Mutombo35370.280.220.05-0.221741315.414.50.9414.212.61.65
Charles Hayes38360.250.25-0.00-0.071110112.616.0-3.4014.412.51.85
Luther Head56550.150.35-0.210.09219-1715.014.50.5312.813.6-0.86
Bobby Jackson40400.040.46-0.420.19-526-3116.513.72.9011.614.2-2.63
Steve Novak880.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1915.914.71.1914.113.11.02
Aaron Brooks880.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1915.914.71.1914.113.11.02
Bobby Jones880.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1915.914.71.1914.113.11.02
Carl Landry3536-0.070.57-0.650.22-1031-4116.413.92.4611.514.1-2.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 84, POR 1050.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
LAC 95, PHX 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
PHX 78, SEA 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%