NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	79		Excitement	4.1 [978]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +19.6%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.0 [1113]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -7.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	66%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	56%	0.02	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	-0.00	12	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	8	63%	0.12	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	16	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	14	39%	0.05	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.1	15.8	27.1	2.5	28.5	127.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.9%

WAS +12.7%

WAS +4.5%

WAS +15.6%

WAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.8	15.4	88.8	101.1	105.7
season	14.9	16.1		105.6	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.4	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	14.3	16.1	16.1	15.2
WAS	17.5	15.7	17.4	16.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	14	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-17	21	14.4	15.4	-1.00	19.5	16.2	3.22
Justin Williams	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	13.7	15.3	-1.52	22.8	16.4	6.37
Francisco Garcia	42	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-12	11	15.4	15.0	0.38	16.6	17.0	-0.38
Dahntay Jones	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-13	13	15.5	15.1	0.40	17.1	16.6	0.48
Quincy Douby	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-16	19	13.7	15.5	-1.77	20.3	16.1	4.14
Kenny Thomas	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-8	3	18.0	14.2	3.71	15.7	17.2	-1.51
Beno Udrih	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.7	13.7	2.03	15.8	19.4	-3.67
Brad Miller	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-3	-7	14.6	17.1	-2.48	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Mikki Moore	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	-1	-11	15.0	15.9	-0.96	16.4	17.7	-1.24
Metta World Peace	59	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	1	-15	14.8	15.9	-1.05	16.6	17.1	-0.53
John Salmons	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	4	-21	15.2	15.2	-0.01	17.0	16.3	0.67

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	75	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-1	15	17.2	14.8	2.39	14.7	17.1	-2.32
Brendan Haywood	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-6	25	16.5	17.2	-0.74	15.2	15.1	0.11
DeShawn Stevenson	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	0	13	16.6	18.8	-2.20	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Antawn Jamison	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	17.2	15.5	1.63	14.5	17.5	-2.96
Nick Young	27	24	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	3	7	17.7	16.4	1.26	15.5	15.1	0.46
Roger Mason Jr.	67	68	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	12	-11	16.6	17.4	-0.86	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Dominic McGuire	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	17.3	16.6	0.66	16.9	14.7	2.19
Andray Blatche	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	15	-17	16.7	16.8	-0.08	16.2	14.8	1.43
Darius Songaila	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	15.3	17.6	-2.26	16.0	14.8	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 70, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 83, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DEN 70, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%