inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 75 Excitement7.8 [264] MVPJason Williams (MIA): +20.3%
New York Knicks 72 Comeback13.1 [71] LVPJamal Crawford (NYK): -37.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.200,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.2-0.030.240.011452%0.293-0.08560%0.02
Ricky Davis0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.03-0.021544%0.082-0.072100%0.02
Dorell Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.09,-0.010.02-0.000.021357%0.032-0.0320%-0.12
Smush Parker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00550%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Mark Blount-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.002100%0.054-0.1200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.00-0.060.021354%0.052-0.1300%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.06-0.00831%-0.021-0.0900%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.080.0030%-0.1300.0000%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddy Curry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.001263%0.164-0.12683%0.02
Fred Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01844%0.021-0.032100%0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.03-0.001544%0.053-0.082100%0.02
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0330%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00425%-0.031-0.0600%0.00
Mardy Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00325%-0.042-0.0520%-0.09
Stephon Marbury0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.24-0.24-0.04-0.190.011644%-0.052-0.1900%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.37-0.37-0.07-0.31-0.001439%-0.093-0.28580%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.32.730.215.525.22.332.7128.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +54.1%
NYK -17.1%
NYK -5.1%
MIA +23.5%
NYK -5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game17.116.515.486.285.7105.7
season16.015.799.0103.1
opponent15.215.4109.9108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.716.420.917.117.1
NYK17.415.615.917.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Davis75710.66-0.160.820.467-41117.018.2-1.2916.019.4-3.37
Udonis Haslem77740.65-0.150.790.3211-81917.315.61.7416.715.21.52
Anfernee Hardaway66630.63-0.130.750.456-3917.117.2-0.0716.516.7-0.24
Jason Williams72690.310.190.130.52-710-1716.818.8-2.0116.317.7-1.38
Shaquille O'Neal62610.260.240.020.2021118.513.74.8016.915.61.28
Alonzo Mourning25230.240.26-0.020.2112-113.718.5-4.8015.616.9-1.28
Chris Quinn10100.090.41-0.33-0.034-1519.216.92.3318.116.31.78
Dorell Wright10100.000.50-0.500.03-14-517.417.10.3018.016.31.66
Mark Blount1010-0.150.65-0.790.09-811-1915.617.3-1.7415.216.7-1.52
Smush Parker2829-0.190.69-0.88-0.1903-317.716.90.8517.516.01.45

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson55580.28-0.781.070.058-111916.117.4-1.3417.217.00.21
Malik Rose27270.11-0.610.720.17-2-1-116.216.7-0.5215.717.8-2.13
Fred Jones44-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-3317.716.51.2719.517.02.48
David Lee6971-0.23-0.270.05-0.468-111916.118.5-2.4317.316.60.71
Renaldo Balkman2221-0.24-0.260.030.03-96-1519.015.63.4018.716.72.02
Stephon Marbury7577-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.454-71116.219.4-3.2617.216.50.72
Nate Robinson67-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.25-85-1315.216.6-1.4713.617.4-3.88
Mardy Collins3635-0.500.00-0.50-0.09-1411-2518.115.42.7117.416.90.49
Jamal Crawford6974-0.540.04-0.57-0.48-2-1-116.217.9-1.6217.117.2-0.02
Eddy Curry5761-0.570.07-0.64-0.570-3316.616.40.1917.017.4-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.85,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 100, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.91,089.6%
UTA 88, GSW 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.73,089.5%
ATL 104, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,089.4%