NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	2.1 [1286]		MVP	Matt Barnes (GSW): +7.2%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.2 [1239]		LVP	Maurice Ager (DAL): -8.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	14	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	26%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.01	0.11	14	59%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	15	58%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.00	0.12	9	85%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	15	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.6	29.7	15.8	32.7	2.6	29.4	140.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.8%

GSW +1.8%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +10.0%

GSW +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	17.4	12.8	15.4	86.3	115.6	104.5
season	16.3	13.5		108.7	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.3	19.8	14.6	16.1	17.4
GSW	10.7	12.9	13.7	13.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-34	39	16.1	17.7	-1.56	14.0	12.5	1.47
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-24	19	14.6	18.5	-3.84	14.5	12.1	2.40
Jose Juan Barea	64	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-19	9	16.1	19.9	-3.79	12.9	12.7	0.17
Greg Buckner	69	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.44	-22	-7	-15	17.1	18.2	-1.12	12.7	13.1	-0.43
DeSagana Diop	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-18	7	16.8	17.9	-1.03	13.1	12.5	0.54
Austin Croshere	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-11	-7	17.5	17.2	0.31	12.5	13.3	-0.81
Devin Harris	29	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-10	-9	20.4	16.0	4.37	12.9	12.7	0.20
Jason Terry	34	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-11	-7	19.6	16.1	3.49	13.1	12.7	0.39
Maurice Ager	68	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.38	-27	-2	-25	17.3	17.5	-0.19	12.2	14.4	-2.22
Devean George	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.15	-20	-9	-11	18.3	15.7	2.53	12.3	13.7	-1.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	3	23	12.5	13.2	-0.72	18.6	15.6	3.04
Jason Richardson	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.37	28	1	27	12.2	15.9	-3.71	17.5	16.4	1.11
Matt Barnes	62	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	4	21	12.5	13.3	-0.81	17.7	16.7	1.01
Stephen Jackson	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.17	21	8	13	12.8	12.8	-0.06	18.6	15.8	2.81
Mickael Pietrus	58	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	11	7	12.6	13.1	-0.41	17.5	17.2	0.34
Al Harrington	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	18	-7	13.1	12.6	0.46	17.8	17.1	0.73
Andris Biedrins	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.15	9	20	-11	11.3	13.7	-2.43	15.4	18.6	-3.11
Monta Ellis	58	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.27	12	17	-5	12.3	13.6	-1.24	16.0	19.7	-3.61
Josh Powell	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	15.8	12.2	3.67	15.4	17.8	-2.33
Adonal Foyle	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	21.3	12.2	9.10	17.5	17.4	0.13
Kelenna Azubuike	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	17.6	12.2	5.46	16.0	17.5	-1.54
Sarunas Jasikevicius	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	15.7	12.7	2.96	16.5	17.4	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 78, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SAC 66, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ATL 76, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%