NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	8.3 [221]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +19.2%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	2.6 [328]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -16.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04	-0.09	0.11	-0.01	13	42%	0.13	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01	-0.00	0.04	0.03	15	47%	0.07	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	18	48%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.05	-0.03	17	65%	0.20	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	12	65%	0.20	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
James Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	17	29%	-0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	29.3	14.7	27.0	1.8	35.9	134.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -3.0%

LAC +17.9%

LAC +33.6%

PHX -5.7%

LAC +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	13.8	15.4	113.2	108.8	104.5
season	15.7	13.8		103.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.3	20.9	17.0	16.5	17.8
PHX	14.0	13.4	13.6	14.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	60	61	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-6	16	17.5	18.5	-0.92	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Elton Brand	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-2	8	17.6	19.6	-2.00	13.7	14.5	-0.74
Tim Thomas	74	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	17.0	21.4	-4.31	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Quinton Ross	84	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	2	0	17.6	21.1	-3.57	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Jason Hart	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	1	2	17.4	21.1	-3.73	14.1	12.2	1.88
Daniel Ewing	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	21.1	17.6	3.57	14.0	13.8	0.21
Sam Cassell	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	5	-6	19.1	17.3	1.85	12.9	14.2	-1.23
James Singleton	1	0	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	25.0	17.8	7.23	0.0	13.8	-13.80
Chris Kaman	44	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	7	-10	20.0	15.8	4.21	14.4	13.3	1.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	58	61	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-8	12	14.6	12.3	2.30	17.8	17.9	-0.03
Boris Diaw	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	15.2	11.9	3.24	18.5	17.0	1.53
Kurt Thomas	36	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-5	6	14.0	13.7	0.28	19.6	16.5	3.14
Raja Bell	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-6	8	13.8	13.7	0.15	17.0	19.7	-2.65
Shawn Marion	53	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	0	-4	13.2	14.7	-1.51	17.9	17.8	0.11
Leandro Barbosa	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	13.8	13.8	-0.03	18.8	16.2	2.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.51	-9	5	-14	13.1	15.8	-2.70	17.0	19.9	-2.90
Steve Nash	67	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.51	-9	5	-14	13.1	15.8	-2.70	17.0	19.9	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	92.9%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.9%
IND 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.6%