NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	9.2 [124]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +35.9%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	103		Comeback	4.3 [355]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -35.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.36	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36	0.12	0.25	0.02	23	67%	0.66	5	-0.30	9	78%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.07	0.01	7	53%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	16	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	10	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36	-0.16	-0.22	-0.02	15	28%	-0.20	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.10	0.01	13	74%	0.29	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.14	0.03	23	56%	0.24	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.02	8	56%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.11	0.00	15	49%	0.25	3	-0.19	5	60%	0.07
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	12	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	29.0	15.5	28.2	2.4	38.6	1.6	18.2	160.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +19.9%

NOK +20.3%

NOK +4.5%

NOK +7.8%

LAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOK	NBA	LAC	NOK	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.4	102.0	103.0	104.5
season	15.7	16.0		103.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.7	18.2	16.4	18.2	13.0	16.7
NOK	15.6	16.9	15.6	13.9	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	33	30	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.11	11	-14	25	14.7	17.6	-2.90	17.1	14.8	2.31
Daniel Ewing	11	10	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.02	12	-15	27	21.9	16.0	5.92	16.6	15.4	1.24
Tim Thomas	45	44	0.30	-0.81	1.11	-0.16	16	-19	35	15.3	17.8	-2.52	16.0	15.1	0.93
Elton Brand	82	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	16.5	17.4	-0.86	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Cuttino Mobley	78	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	17.5	13.3	4.15	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Chris Kaman	71	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	7	-17	18.0	13.1	4.84	15.5	15.3	0.23
Jason Hart	87	90	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.39	-15	12	-27	16.0	21.9	-5.92	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Corey Maggette	83	85	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.48	-17	14	-31	16.4	18.3	-1.91	15.1	17.4	-2.26

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	93	91	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.31	17	-14	31	15.1	20.0	-4.86	16.4	20.4	-4.07
Chris Paul	82	79	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	15.1	17.0	-1.85	16.3	18.1	-1.80
Marc Jackson	69	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-6	15	15.6	15.3	0.27	17.4	15.2	2.13
Devin Brown	81	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.8	16.2	0.59
Rasual Butler	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	16.0	13.9	2.09	16.9	15.9	1.01
Bobby Jackson	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.42	-9	12	-21	15.4	15.5	-0.12	16.2	17.1	-0.84
Hilton Armstrong	29	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	8	-13	16.3	15.2	1.12	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Jannero Pargo	19	20	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.12	-14	17	-31	16.9	15.1	1.75	17.8	16.4	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.95,1	88.2%
NOH 110, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.82,0.87,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	87.9%
POR 107, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.92,0.92,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.83,0.98,1	87.7%