NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	11.0 [38]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): +36.3%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	11.2 [110]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -72.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.31,-0.3,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	25	62%	0.50	7	-0.43	13	85%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.12	0.00	6	75%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	21	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.15	0.01	11	84%	0.38	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.05
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.08
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.02	18	56%	0.11	4	-0.24	3	33%	-0.06
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	14	36%	-0.09	5	-0.12	5	40%	-0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.37,-0.24,-0.72	-0.72	0.06	-0.76	0.02	29	59%	-0.16	5	-0.56	5	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	3.5	30.4	17.7	24.2	3.5	40.2	1.8	16.9	166.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.1%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +1.6%

CLE +27.3%

CHI -11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.1	15.4	106.7	105.9	104.5
season	16.0	14.5		103.2	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.9	17.8	15.1	17.5	13.3	16.6
CHI	12.1	17.4	13.1	15.1	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	63	61	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-13	30	15.3	18.6	-3.33	15.7	11.8	3.90
Daniel Gibson	33	31	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-6	16	15.1	17.3	-2.24	14.6	13.8	0.80
Drew Gooden	75	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.97	-13	17	-30	17.0	15.6	1.45	12.9	17.0	-4.17
LeBron James	94	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	0	4	16.9	13.6	3.31	13.9	15.5	-1.53
Larry Hughes	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	4	-4	16.4	17.3	-0.94	14.0	14.5	-0.54
Eric Snow	29	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	16.9	16.5	0.41	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Donyell Marshall	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.59	22	-18	40	14.2	17.2	-3.06	18.9	12.7	6.17
Shannon Brown	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	6	-8	0.0	16.8	-16.76	0.0	14.1	-14.09
Sasha Pavlovic	82	80	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	10	-16	17.0	15.3	1.60	14.2	13.6	0.63
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	48	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.07	-16	20	-36	19.1	14.4	4.69	11.6	16.3	-4.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	15	17	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.00	6	-10	16	12.7	14.3	-1.59	18.4	16.3	2.09
Viktor Khryapa	5	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	19.8	13.8	6.01	18.7	16.5	2.19
Malik Allen	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	0	-4	15.8	13.7	2.13	17.2	16.4	0.80
Ben Gordon	93	95	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-11	18	13.5	20.4	-6.97	16.7	15.4	1.33
Chris Duhon	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	6	-16	15.0	13.7	1.34	14.8	17.3	-2.50
Kirk Hinrich	87	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	14.4	12.2	2.21	17.0	14.0	2.97
Luol Deng	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	13.8	16.6	-2.86	16.4	18.2	-1.77
Tyrus Thomas	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	13.6	15.4	-1.79	16.3	17.5	-1.15
Ben Wallace	92	93	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	14.3	12.1	2.20	16.6	16.9	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.92,0	88.4%
MEM 108, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,0	87.9%
PHX 104, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.3,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0	87.5%