NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	10.6 [55]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +62.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	3.2 [326]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -8.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.63	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.63	0.28	0.35	-0.00	24	70%	0.74	2	-0.11	12	83%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.23	0.01	0.22	-0.00	7	47%	0.23	0	0.00	5	80%	0.09
Antawn Jamison	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.18	-0.04	0.21	-0.01	21	42%	0.19	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05
Darius Songaila	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.35,0.39	0.39	0.04	0.35	-0.00	24	49%	0.43	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.12
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	20	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.07
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.06	0.00	10	68%	0.12	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.0	27.3	14.8	30.8	1.8	36.4	138.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +67.3%

SEA -2.8%

SEA -47.0%

WAS +26.4%

WAS +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.4	112.5	111.6	104.5
season	14.8	15.4		107.8	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.9	16.6	15.0	14.1	14.9
SEA	16.8	14.7	13.8	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-6	14	14.4	16.6	-2.17	15.6	13.9	1.66
Andray Blatche	66	65	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-2	6	14.4	15.9	-1.52	14.8	16.3	-1.55
Antawn Jamison	81	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	-3	8	15.1	13.9	1.13	15.7	12.7	2.98
Darius Songaila	60	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	2	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.54	16.0	14.2	1.78
Antonio Daniels	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	7	-12	15.2	14.6	0.63	15.0	15.5	-0.42
Etan Thomas	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	0	2	14.4	15.0	-0.58	15.8	15.2	0.60
Michael Ruffin	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	5	-8	15.6	14.8	0.80	16.9	15.1	1.78
DeShawn Stevenson	47	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	-1	4	14.8	15.0	-0.19	14.3	16.2	-1.96
Brendan Haywood	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	5	-8	15.3	14.6	0.67	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Calvin Booth	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	15.9	14.7	1.14	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Roger Mason Jr.	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	3	-4	15.8	14.5	1.29	16.0	15.0	1.00

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-5	8	15.0	15.3	-0.31	17.4	14.6	2.81
Andre Brown	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-4	6	18.5	15.2	3.30	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Nick Collison	52	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	15.9	14.5	1.43	15.3	14.4	0.92
Johan Petro	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.25	14.2	15.1	-0.98
Chris Wilcox	82	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-5	8	15.4	14.5	0.94	15.4	12.0	3.42
Rashard Lewis	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.33	-2	0	-2	15.3	15.1	0.15	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Earl Watson	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.6	-0.46	15.2	14.2	0.97
Luke Ridnour	81	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	14.9	17.4	-2.53	14.6	16.5	-1.82
Damien Wilkins	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.2	15.6	-0.42	14.4	17.1	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.35,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,0	92.3%
PHX 95, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.27,0	91.3%
SEA 98, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0	90.9%