NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	2.7 [1233]		MVP	Salim Stoudamire (ATL): +7.5%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.1 [694]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -6.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	10	65%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	8	72%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.05	4	-0.06	9	100%	0.03
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.02	-0.07	9	45%	0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	79%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	64%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	20	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	0	75%	0.00	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	33.4	15.5	30.5	2.0	25.0	134.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.6%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +10.5%

PHI -1.4%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.8	15.4	98.9	111.8	104.5
season	15.5	16.1		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	15.9	13.0	11.8	14.1
ATL	16.7	15.4	17.0	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.46	16	-28	44	10.9	16.3	-5.44	18.0	16.1	1.87
Lou Amundson	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	11.2	14.3	-3.18	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Bobby Jones	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-20	28	11.4	14.7	-3.27	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Kevin Ollie	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-15	18	12.6	14.6	-1.97	17.6	16.6	0.98
Lou Williams	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-25	38	12.4	15.5	-3.13	18.0	15.9	2.10
Joe Smith	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-18	24	12.6	16.3	-3.68	18.6	14.4	4.21
Kyle Korver	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-11	10	13.9	14.3	-0.41	18.2	15.4	2.79
Steven Hunter	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	8	-28	17.4	12.4	5.00	15.1	17.8	-2.65
Willie Green	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	10	-32	16.2	12.2	4.01	14.7	18.6	-3.92
Andre Miller	52	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	6	-24	14.9	13.1	1.82	16.3	17.5	-1.22
Samuel Dalembert	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	12	-36	15.6	12.3	3.34	16.2	17.6	-1.36
Andre Iguodala	63	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.19	-23	11	-34	15.1	12.2	2.91	16.1	18.4	-2.25

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-14	40	16.0	19.8	-3.79	15.2	10.2	4.96
Josh Childress	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	0	12	17.0	15.9	1.05	13.8	16.3	-2.52
Josh Smith	74	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.18	22	-10	32	16.4	18.6	-2.27	14.4	13.1	1.32
Anthony Johnson	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	-11	34	15.4	18.9	-3.49	15.5	12.0	3.54
Zaza Pachulia	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	-14	40	15.7	18.1	-2.40	15.2	12.7	2.52
Solomon Jones	27	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	10	-8	17.9	16.4	1.55	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Tyronn Lue	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.30	-8	20	-28	19.0	15.3	3.72	11.9	15.7	-3.84
Salim Stoudamire	37	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.48	-15	27	-42	18.3	15.9	2.44	12.5	15.2	-2.68
Shelden Williams	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.55	-18	30	-48	18.1	16.3	1.73	12.7	14.7	-2.08
Royal Ivey	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	21.5	16.7	4.77	7.0	14.2	-7.22
Esteban Batista	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	21.5	16.7	4.77	7.0	14.2	-7.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	97.2%
ORL 79, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%