NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	9.3 [115]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +58.3%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	8.9 [155]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -22.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	12	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.09	-0.00	14	50%	0.17	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tarence Kinsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.38,0.12,-0.22	0.11	-0.33	0.01	21	64%	-0.03	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.58	0.58	0.01	0.55	-0.02	15	51%	0.62	2	-0.04	9	67%	0.03
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	6	69%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.06	-0.16	0.03	12	61%	0.03	1	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	6	57%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	17	46%	-0.02	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.4	31.6	15.8	26.0	2.3	37.4	144.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.7%

ATL +32.8%

MEM -1.7%

MEM -6.7%

ATL +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	12.9	16.3	15.4	105.0	108.2	104.5
season	15.1	16.1		105.1	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.4	13.0	11.9	13.2	12.9
ATL	17.3	13.1	15.8	19.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	42	39	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-11	21	12.4	13.2	-0.84	14.7	17.3	-2.51
Junior Harrington	21	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-1	1	12.7	12.9	-0.26	15.0	16.6	-1.58
Tarence Kinsey	11	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	13.6	12.8	0.86	19.3	15.8	3.52
Lawrence Roberts	48	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	8	-17	13.6	12.2	1.41	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Mike Miller	88	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-5	9	12.6	15.0	-2.42	16.4	15.5	0.83
Rudy Gay	74	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.50	7	-8	15	13.1	12.2	0.92	15.5	18.6	-3.15
Stromile Swift	63	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-6	11	12.2	14.0	-1.84	16.8	15.3	1.48
Dahntay Jones	27	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	7	-15	12.9	12.9	-0.02	16.6	16.1	0.52
Damon Stoudamire	79	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	0	-1	12.9	12.7	0.26	16.6	15.0	1.58
Pau Gasol	47	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	7	-15	13.5	12.3	1.13	17.9	14.7	3.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	31	30	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.66	14	-13	27	17.4	15.7	1.70	13.0	12.8	0.23
Tyronn Lue	55	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-6	13	16.8	15.6	1.24	13.2	12.5	0.73
Josh Childress	89	91	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	2	-3	16.5	13.7	2.85	13.0	12.0	0.96
Anthony Johnson	48	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	4	-7	15.5	16.9	-1.40	13.0	12.8	0.19
Salim Stoudamire	15	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-9	19	14.4	16.6	-2.19	13.4	12.8	0.62
Solomon Jones	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	4	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.33	13.1	12.7	0.42
Lorenzen Wright	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-5	11	16.6	16.2	0.42	12.5	12.9	-0.38
Josh Smith	80	83	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.46	-11	12	-23	15.5	19.4	-3.84	12.8	13.2	-0.37
Zaza Pachulia	47	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.14	-5	6	-11	16.3	16.2	0.12	12.7	13.0	-0.23
Marvin Williams	74	76	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.10	-9	10	-19	16.6	15.0	1.61	12.4	14.5	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.43,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.64,0.45,0.53,1	91.6%
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	91.0%
ATL 101, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.42,1	90.2%