NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	10.7 [51]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +51.2%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	2.8 [544]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -36.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31	-0.05	0.35	-0.01	22	45%	0.36	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.05
Brevin Knight	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Matt Carroll	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	7	84%	0.17	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Walter Herrmann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Adam Morrison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	20	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.10	-0.26	0.01	17	38%	-0.15	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.41,0.35,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.22	0.32	0.03	20	73%	0.56	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.11	-0.02	14	71%	0.31	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.00	7	56%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.10
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	14	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	7	62%	0.02	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.19	0.02	15	53%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	24.8	15.5	22.2	2.4	34.2	1.6	12.5	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +58.1%

PHX +5.5%

CHA -54.0%

PHX +32.1%

PHX +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.6	14.1	15.4	106.0	113.9	104.5
season	15.7	13.8		101.7	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.0		105.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	17.8	14.8	20.0	18.0	18.2	17.6
PHX	12.7	13.5	14.3	15.1	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	25	26	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-16	23	16.4	18.0	-1.63	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Derek Anderson	22	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	19.2	17.1	2.05	15.1	13.8	1.27
Walter Herrmann	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	14.7	17.9	-3.20	15.0	14.0	1.00
Brevin Knight	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-8	7	16.6	18.2	-1.68	15.4	13.3	2.13
Matt Carroll	78	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-10	11	17.3	18.7	-1.41	14.1	13.8	0.29
Ryan Hollins	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	5	-19	17.0	17.7	-0.67	13.8	14.1	-0.34
Gerald Wallace	91	92	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	17.5	18.2	-0.71	13.9	16.3	-2.47
Raymond Felton	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	1	-11	18.9	15.0	3.85	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Adam Morrison	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	17.1	19.6	-2.53	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Jake Voskuhl	66	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	2	-13	18.4	15.9	2.53	14.0	14.2	-0.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	81	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.20	14	-5	19	14.1	13.8	0.35	17.5	17.9	-0.36
Shawn Marion	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-5	19	13.8	15.6	-1.89	18.1	14.7	3.44
Steve Nash	79	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	13.7	15.4	-1.70	18.9	13.5	5.37
James Jones	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-2	13	14.2	14.0	0.25	17.7	17.5	0.19
Raja Bell	77	77	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	14	-19	14.2	13.6	0.60	17.4	18.0	-0.60
Kurt Thomas	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	15.7	13.4	2.26	16.1	18.2	-2.08
Eric Piatkowski	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	15.4	13.8	1.53	12.8	18.6	-5.80
Amar'e Stoudemire	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	7	-5	12.4	15.2	-2.74	18.1	17.2	0.82
Boris Diaw	42	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	17	-25	14.4	13.9	0.48	16.8	18.2	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.64,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	90.2%
POR 111, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.9,0.98,1	89.3%
SEA 116, ATL 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,1	88.7%