NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	91		Excitement	4.1 [1001]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +8.9%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.9 [944]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -13.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.09	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Linton Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	64%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	9	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	10	40%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	10	20%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	38%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.05	18	50%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	17	61%	0.14	6	-0.14	7	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	15.6	23.6	2.0	28.3	124.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.1%

DEN +14.7%

DEN +2.4%

NOK -2.7%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	DEN	NBA	NOK	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.4	97.8	112.8	104.5
season	16.0	14.0		102.8	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.2	15.7	17.7	14.7	16.1
DEN	13.8	13.8	15.0	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	11.0	16.3	-5.30	14.4	14.8	-0.35
Marc Jackson	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-16	17	13.5	16.5	-2.95	13.5	14.9	-1.45
Bobby Jackson	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-23	31	14.9	17.1	-2.17	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Hilton Armstrong	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-18	21	14.8	16.4	-1.62	16.0	14.4	1.67
Linton Johnson	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	14.2	16.8	-2.62	14.9	14.7	0.25
Jannero Pargo	25	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-7	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.87	14.7	14.7	0.01
Rasual Butler	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-11	7	15.3	16.7	-1.44	15.6	14.1	1.47
Devin Brown	37	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-1	-13	16.5	15.8	0.77	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Chris Paul	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-6	-3	16.5	14.1	2.44	15.0	13.6	1.44
Desmond Mason	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	3	-21	16.9	14.7	2.14	14.5	15.1	-0.61
David West	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	6	-27	17.6	14.4	3.12	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Tyson Chandler	76	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	0	-15	16.8	12.9	3.84	15.0	13.7	1.25

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	70	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-4	23	14.6	15.1	-0.52	16.1	15.9	0.21
Linas Kleiza	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	2	11	14.4	15.0	-0.59	15.4	16.7	-1.27
Marcus Camby	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-1	17	15.0	14.1	0.94	16.7	14.6	2.10
Carmelo Anthony	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	1	13	14.8	14.7	0.12	16.9	14.4	2.58
Allen Iverson	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	7	1	15.1	13.2	1.94	16.2	15.5	0.67
Yakhouba Diawara	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	2	11	12.9	15.5	-2.62	16.3	16.0	0.30
Steve Blake	68	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	16	-17	15.2	13.5	1.76	15.7	16.9	-1.20
Eduardo Najera	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	24	-33	15.1	14.4	0.67	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Jamal Sampson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	8.5	14.9	-6.37	14.0	16.1	-2.12
J.R. Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.0	14.9	-2.86	11.0	16.3	-5.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 74, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 67, NOK 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 81, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%