NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	7.7 [308]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +28.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	3.3 [546]		LVP	Chris Webber (DET): -13.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.25,0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.01	12	61%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Carlos Delfino	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	14	45%	-0.04	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	19	52%	0.15	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.01	17	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	13	77%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.08
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	7	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	27.6	16.7	25.9	1.7	30.0	131.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +59.4%

MEM -4.7%

MEM -19.5%

DET +16.8%

MEM -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	16.5	15.4	104.5	101.1	104.5
season	16.8	15.1		106.1	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.7		110.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.1	18.8	16.6	18.9	16.3
MEM	14.5	16.3	20.4	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	53	53	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-11	25	16.4	16.1	0.36	16.7	16.1	0.56
Richard Hamilton	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	15.8	18.1	-2.31	16.4	16.8	-0.43
Chris Webber	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.47	4	-1	5	17.2	12.1	5.07	16.3	17.2	-0.90
Chauncey Billups	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	16.0	17.6	-1.58	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Tayshaun Prince	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	16.9	14.8	2.02	15.7	18.2	-2.41
Ronald Dupree	2	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	5	-7	1.5	16.6	-15.12	20.0	16.4	3.63
Lindsey Hunter	22	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	17.0	16.0	0.97	17.3	16.2	1.09
Dale Davis	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	6	-9	18.6	16.0	2.54	14.5	16.6	-2.15
Carlos Delfino	35	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	16.2	16.3	-0.12	17.7	15.6	2.15
Nazr Mohammed	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.10	-1	4	-5	14.6	16.7	-2.01	17.5	16.2	1.33
Jason Maxiell	23	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	14.7	16.8	-2.19	16.0	16.6	-0.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	17.1	15.9	1.14	15.8	16.7	-0.97
Scott Padgett	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	15.6	16.5	-0.91	10.5	16.7	-6.20
Junior Harrington	26	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	16.2	16.6	-0.37	15.5	16.6	-1.13
Tarence Kinsey	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	6	-15	17.0	16.2	0.83	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Damon Stoudamire	62	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	16.6	16.2	0.37	16.6	15.5	1.13
Pau Gasol	77	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	15.9	20.2	-4.26	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Rudy Gay	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.5	16.4	0.04	16.4	15.9	0.49
Mike Miller	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-4	5	16.2	17.6	-1.33	16.5	14.9	1.68
Hakim Warrick	54	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	5	-13	16.8	15.9	0.98	17.5	14.2	3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	92.4%
GSW 118, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	92.0%
PHX 96, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.15,0	91.9%