inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 118 Excitement5.5 [731] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +12.6%
Washington Wizards 102 Comeback1.9 [320] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -19.0%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.130,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.012663%0.194-0.061090%0.04
Sasha Vujacic0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.00283%0.0800.002100%0.01
Smush Parker0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.020.041657%0.0700.00367%0.00
Andrew Bynum0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.01960%0.0700.002100%0.01
Ronny Turiaf0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.001100%0.0600.001100%0.01
Maurice Evans0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01480%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.04863%0.051-0.023100%0.02
Lamar Odom0.020,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.02-0.001363%0.073-0.04475%0.00
Brian Cook0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Farmar-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.020.041177%0.1200.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01356%0.051-0.013100%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.02-0.002949%0.103-0.071794%0.07
Calvin Booth00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00570%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.02250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.03831%-0.061-0.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.01237%-0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.00737%-0.051-0.0320%-0.03
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.08-0.001834%-0.141-0.05862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.727.015.829.02.531.6131.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +53.7%
LAL +5.2%
WAS -15.8%
LAL +9.9%
WAS -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALWASNBALALWASNBA
this game14.514.815.4119.2105.2104.5
season15.314.8106.3107.8
opponent15.314.9108.7107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.415.012.016.014.5
WAS14.015.015.714.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom88850.440.060.380.001511414.415.9-1.5314.616.5-1.89
Kobe Bryant89870.410.090.320.001421214.812.52.2815.013.61.39
Maurice Evans42410.380.120.260.03124815.413.91.4515.214.60.69
Smush Parker73720.320.180.140.0697214.315.3-1.0314.715.2-0.42
Andrew Bynum74710.300.200.09-0.03115615.113.02.0114.914.80.05
Jordan Farmar23220.220.28-0.06-0.0497214.514.6-0.0915.614.61.02
Ronny Turiaf25260.200.30-0.090.06511-613.015.1-2.0114.814.9-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic61610.140.36-0.210.03412-814.215.1-0.8214.615.2-0.56
Sasha Vujacic10100.090.41-0.320.03214-1212.514.8-2.2813.615.0-1.39
Brian Cook770.030.47-0.430.00115-1414.414.6-0.1317.114.72.48
Shammond Williams33-0.040.54-0.590.01-218-2021.714.37.3411.714.9-3.28

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151413.214.9-1.6615.414.50.90
Roger Mason Jr.45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151413.214.9-1.6615.414.50.90
Darius Songaila2121-0.06-0.440.37-0.060-161615.614.60.9915.014.40.64
Donell Taylor1214-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-10414.414.9-0.4913.214.8-1.55
Antonio Daniels3332-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-131013.515.5-2.0214.414.6-0.16
Brendan Haywood4343-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-9215.714.21.5314.414.7-0.27
Jarvis Hayes5051-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-6-414.715.0-0.3014.314.8-0.44
Etan Thomas5051-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-8014.215.5-1.2514.614.50.09
Andray Blatche3638-0.27-0.23-0.050.02-10-6-414.814.9-0.0213.815.0-1.18
DeShawn Stevenson6062-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-12-4-815.713.52.2014.514.6-0.04
Gilbert Arenas8585-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-10-6-414.914.40.4914.813.21.55
Caron Butler8788-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-12-4-814.715.7-0.9514.912.02.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 115, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
NOK 96, ATL 770.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
IND 105, ATL 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%