NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	3.0 [1192]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +18.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	1.5 [1013]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): -19.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	14	73%	0.09	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	12	68%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tarence Kinsey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	6	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	6	0%	-0.08	6	-0.11	1	0%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.02	23	63%	0.20	3	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.09	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.4	16.4	25.4	2.5	26.4	124.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +12.1%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +7.5%

LAC +17.0%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.4	94.8	116.7	104.5
season	15.1	15.7		105.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.1		103.6	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	11.9	16.3	17.3	13.6	14.6
LAC	14.8	13.7	16.2	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	20	21	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-25	29	14.5	14.6	-0.08	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Dahntay Jones	22	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-19	17	15.1	14.5	0.68	14.8	15.6	-0.74
Jake Tsakalidis	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-15	9	16.7	14.3	2.35	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Chucky Atkins	41	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.29	-15	-6	-9	14.7	14.5	0.16	15.8	15.0	0.80
Tarence Kinsey	16	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-14	7	15.0	14.5	0.46	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Rudy Gay	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-12	3	14.3	15.5	-1.24	15.5	15.0	0.46
Lawrence Roberts	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.23	-15	-6	-9	14.8	14.5	0.35	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Alexander Johnson	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-15	9	13.9	15.1	-1.21	15.9	15.0	0.86
Damon Stoudamire	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-15	9	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Pau Gasol	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.09	-19	-2	-17	14.6	14.8	-0.23	15.6	14.6	1.04
Mike Miller	82	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.13	-24	3	-27	14.7	14.3	0.39	15.7	14.0	1.66

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	55	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-2	25	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.9	13.0	2.91
Corey Maggette	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-2	25	15.1	15.9	-0.78	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Sam Cassell	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.31	27	-6	33	15.4	15.4	0.00	14.9	13.8	1.11
Chris Kaman	49	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	5	11	14.9	15.9	-1.08	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Elton Brand	80	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	4	13	15.4	15.2	0.16	14.9	13.4	1.46
Tim Thomas	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	20	-19	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Paul Davis	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	14	-7	16.6	14.8	1.72	14.9	14.5	0.35
Daniel Ewing	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	27	-33	15.4	15.4	-0.00	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Alvin Williams	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	14.3	15.5	-1.16	13.4	14.8	-1.36
James Singleton	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	13.0	15.4	-2.44	12.0	14.7	-2.70
Quinton Ross	64	63	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	22	-23	16.2	13.8	2.31	14.0	15.8	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, GSW 143	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 91, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 69, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%