NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	5.1 [808]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +9.8%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	1.6 [869]		LVP	Gerald Green (BOS): -20.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.03	9	72%	0.12	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	16	56%	0.13	3	-0.08	16	81%	0.04
Joey Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	13	38%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	68%	0.11	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.01	0.06	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	14	48%	0.09	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	14	43%	-0.08	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.3	15.8	24.5	2.3	36.6	137.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.5%

TOR +9.5%

BOS -13.7%

TOR +25.3%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.4	99.0	90.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	15.1	14.2	17.2	15.2
BOS	17.2	15.6	15.8	11.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	89	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	15.2	14.9	0.36	14.7	17.4	-2.63
Andrea Bargnani	60	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	0	9	14.5	16.4	-1.88	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Rasho Nesterovic	62	59	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-13	35	14.7	16.1	-1.39	15.9	13.4	2.59
T.J. Ford	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.06	14	-5	19	14.8	16.3	-1.48	14.6	15.8	-1.13
Chris Bosh	82	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	15.4	13.9	1.47	15.0	14.8	0.14
Morris Peterson	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	17.3	14.7	2.64	15.9	14.7	1.16
Jorge Garbajosa	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	10	-11	16.4	14.6	1.83	16.6	14.2	2.40
Jose Calderon	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	15	-21	15.7	14.8	0.87	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Joey Graham	29	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	16	-23	14.6	15.4	-0.81	14.6	15.2	-0.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.8	14.3	1.48	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Rajon Rondo	62	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-12	15	14.0	16.8	-2.88	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Leon Powe	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-5	1	16.1	14.3	1.79	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Allan Ray	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.2	16.0	-1.85	15.6	14.7	0.98
Kendrick Perkins	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	3	-15	16.2	14.3	1.97	15.7	14.9	0.76
Sebastian Telfair	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	4	-17	15.2	14.4	0.79	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Al Jefferson	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-6	3	15.6	14.2	1.34	16.6	13.5	3.08
Gerald Green	62	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.35	15.2	15.1	0.09
Ryan Gomes	68	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	3	-15	14.6	16.0	-1.44	15.1	15.5	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, NOH 68	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
WAS 99, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 111, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%