NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	124		Excitement	15.4 [4]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +34.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	133		Comeback	8.9 [179]		LVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): -37.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.45,0.47,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0.03,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.34	0.20	0.17	0.02	45	57%	0.48	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	58%	0.18	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	6	44%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Smush Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.18	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	17%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.35,-0.35	-0.12	-0.24	-0.00	10	39%	-0.01	4	-0.34	8	37%	-0.14

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.27	0.01	20	58%	0.45	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.06
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.21	-0.00	15	69%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.02	-0.00	16	69%	0.24	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.06
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.09	0.02	1	71%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.06	-0.00	24	39%	0.08	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.25	-0.14	-0.01	15	15%	-0.30	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	32.5	15.0	31.8	1.8	35.0	2.6	12.6	1.6	18.2	2.8	17.6	198.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -2.2%

CHA +9.9%

CHA +20.2%

CHA +25.8%

LAL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.8	15.4	102.5	109.9	104.5
season	15.3	15.7		106.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.6	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	11.4	14.0	13.0	17.5	16.8	14.4
CHA	17.4	13.7	15.2	17.6	20.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	25	24	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.48	-7	-2	-5	14.6	14.4	0.21	18.4	16.4	2.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	40	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-7	5	13.8	14.7	-0.93	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Brian Cook	48	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-13	17	12.8	15.5	-2.75	15.8	17.5	-1.71
Andrew Bynum	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-3	-3	14.5	14.4	0.12	14.8	17.7	-2.84
Jordan Farmar	14	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	-2	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.29	12.3	17.5	-5.18
Ronny Turiaf	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.2	14.4	-0.19	13.7	16.9	-3.16
Kobe Bryant	102	101	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-14	19	14.8	12.3	2.51	17.4	13.8	3.61
Luke Walton	96	95	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	14.1	15.6	-1.47	16.9	16.4	0.49
Smush Parker	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-10	11	13.9	15.2	-1.37	16.5	17.3	-0.87
Kwame Brown	85	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-8	7	14.5	14.3	0.22	17.8	14.6	3.21
Maurice Evans	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	8	-25	15.6	12.9	2.71	17.4	15.9	1.50

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	75	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.12	20	-11	31	16.8	16.8	-0.03	15.3	13.0	2.34
Bernard Robinson	19	17	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	0	9	21.1	16.0	5.10	15.5	14.2	1.28
Jake Voskuhl	41	40	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-9	27	14.0	18.3	-4.29	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Emeka Okafor	94	96	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	12	-15	17.8	13.2	4.62	14.9	12.7	2.21
Derek Anderson	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	2	5	16.2	17.1	-0.89	15.0	14.2	0.81
Melvin Ely	35	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	0	9	13.8	18.0	-4.28	13.1	14.9	-1.82
Gerald Wallace	90	93	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	16.1	18.8	-2.64	14.5	14.1	0.47
Raymond Felton	100	100	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	13	-17	16.8	16.9	-0.11	14.3	15.0	-0.63
Walter Herrmann	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	11	-13	16.6	16.8	-0.27	12.7	14.6	-1.90
Primoz Brezec	24	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	21	-33	18.4	16.4	2.00	11.6	15.1	-3.50
Adam Morrison	55	53	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.27	-5	14	-19	16.9	16.8	0.08	13.0	15.6	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.78,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 136, NJN 137	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.86,0.74,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	86.3%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	84.3%
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	84.3%