NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	4.4 [947]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): +5.0%
Atlanta Hawks	76		Comeback	1.1 [1092]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -15.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	25	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	14	49%	0.05	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Bozeman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.01	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	14	63%	0.07	8	-0.21	7	57%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.21	-0.02	-0.08	17	28%	-0.06	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	29.1	15.8	23.2	2.6	30.3	133.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +22.7%

CLE +4.5%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +17.3%

CLE +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.4	92.7	80.0	104.5
season	16.0	16.1		103.2	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	12.9	17.6	15.5	15.1
ATL	14.8	15.4	15.8	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.08	23	-10	33	14.5	17.7	-3.24	15.4	13.5	1.95
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-5	23	15.3	14.5	0.74	15.5	14.1	1.42
Larry Hughes	78	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	0	13	15.2	14.4	0.75	15.3	14.2	1.12
Eric Snow	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	2	9	14.4	16.5	-2.09	15.3	14.7	0.56
Drew Gooden	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	4	5	14.1	16.9	-2.78	15.2	14.9	0.30
Donyell Marshall	34	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	13.6	15.8	-2.22	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Anderson Varejao	27	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	17	-21	18.3	13.8	4.46	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Damon Jones	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.29	-7	20	-27	16.9	13.8	3.09	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Daniel Gibson	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	16	-19	15.5	14.9	0.58	14.1	15.4	-1.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Bozeman	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-12	11	14.0	15.2	-1.15	12.7	15.1	-2.46
Salim Stoudamire	28	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-10	7	14.6	15.3	-0.76	13.4	15.8	-2.45
Lorenzen Wright	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-11	9	14.8	15.3	-0.44	15.4	14.9	0.47
Marvin Williams	39	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	14.8	15.3	-0.57	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Zaza Pachulia	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-10	7	15.0	15.4	-0.36	15.3	14.3	1.04
Josh Childress	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-9	5	15.0	15.4	-0.36	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Shelden Williams	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	3	-19	15.7	14.2	1.46	15.5	14.4	1.04
Speedy Claxton	75	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	-1	-11	15.2	14.6	0.64	15.3	13.9	1.44
Joe Johnson	94	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	2	-17	15.2	3.0	12.23	15.0	18.5	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, MIN 96	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 101, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.1%