inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 95 Excitement9.6 [96] MVPTyronn Lue (ATL): +30.6%
Washington Wizards 96 Comeback1.7 [826] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -66.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.310.120.18-0.011075%0.351-0.04475%0.00
Shelden Williams0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01760%0.0500.001100%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Cedric Bozeman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Freije-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.160.10-0.250.012263%0.024-0.18875%-0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.430,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.43,-0.43-0.14-0.30-0.011036%-0.075-0.362100%0.01
Josh Smith-0.620,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.44,-0.62-0.23-0.41-0.021624%-0.375-0.25560%-0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.26,0.260.260.070.190.001060%0.342-0.0815100%0.12
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.070.003150%0.202-0.0600%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.06-0.02667%0.151-0.0400%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.002100%0.0900.003100%0.02
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Lang00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.00533%-0.001-0.0320%-0.03
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00386%0.064-0.1110%-0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.01-0.110.011747%-0.101-0.01475%-0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35,-0.51,-0.67-0.67-0.16-0.52-0.011947%-0.019-0.66771%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.331.516.426.32.032.2134.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +50.3%
WAS +30.9%
ATL -32.1%
ATL -12.2%
WAS +13.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLWASNBAATLWASNBA
this game17.412.515.499.099.0104.5
season16.114.8101.1107.8
opponent15.315.3108.7106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL18.415.417.218.617.4
WAS10.914.011.813.312.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright28310.02-0.520.550.020-1117.717.30.4011.712.8-1.17
Shelden Williams32340.01-0.510.510.010-1118.217.01.2811.313.1-1.82
Matt Freije2220-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-3516.517.6-1.1014.911.83.06
Cedric Bozeman88-0.03-0.470.430.05-32-515.917.5-1.6611.612.6-0.93
Solomon Jones1011-0.04-0.460.430.02-21-314.117.8-3.6811.012.7-1.66
Speedy Claxton3739-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-1110-2117.117.6-0.5610.613.8-3.19
Tyronn Lue6867-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.568-91717.217.9-0.7513.111.21.89
Salim Stoudamire4746-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.494-5917.617.20.3114.410.73.69
Zaza Pachulia4948-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.471-2318.216.61.6113.411.61.82
Joe Johnson9090-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.491-2317.319.0-1.7112.611.41.13
Josh Smith8991-0.580.08-0.65-0.43-54-917.614.63.0511.723.5-11.75

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarvis Hayes36370.61-0.110.720.523-2514.411.33.0416.617.9-1.35
Brendan Haywood46480.60-0.100.690.426-51113.811.32.5318.216.61.58
Caron Butler89880.58-0.080.670.445-4911.819.6-7.7917.417.6-0.25
Gilbert Arenas86850.58-0.080.650.464-3712.016.5-4.5917.417.6-0.27
Antonio Daniels49490.400.100.300.49-34-714.110.83.2917.217.6-0.48
DeShawn Stevenson54530.050.45-0.41-0.012-1310.914.5-3.5816.518.5-1.94
Donell Taylor770.030.47-0.450.0301-116.012.23.8017.717.40.34
James Lang230.010.49-0.480.04-12-32.012.7-10.6917.717.40.28
Etan Thomas4743-0.070.57-0.640.02-34-711.413.4-1.9916.917.8-0.84
Antawn Jamison6967-0.280.78-1.05-0.04-89-1712.811.71.1218.514.93.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.86,0.81,0.59,0.81,0.67,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 97, LAC 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.68,0.9,192.0%
PHX 106, NOP 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.66,0.84,190.7%
NJN 90, SEA 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,190.7%