NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	6.8 [475]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): +20.4%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	3.0 [618]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -22.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.08	-0.02	9	79%	0.20	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.02	15	69%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Jarvis Hayes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	4	42%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	12	33%	-0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	20	43%	-0.12	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	11	52%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	17	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	19	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	0.07	27	45%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.0	30.7	18.8	27.4	2.7	36.2	145.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.9%

WAS -9.9%

DET +6.6%

DET +17.9%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	17.4	15.4	101.1	111.1	104.5
season	14.8	16.8		107.8	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	13.8	15.4	12.8	14.6
DET	15.7	18.1	17.4	18.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	29	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-20	31	12.3	15.6	-3.31	18.3	17.0	1.23
Michael Ruffin	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	16.2	14.3	1.85	17.7	17.4	0.32
Brendan Haywood	29	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	13.5	15.1	-1.58	17.6	17.4	0.18
Gilbert Arenas	72	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.3	15.7	-1.39	17.6	17.0	0.56
Etan Thomas	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	0	-9	16.7	13.7	3.00	16.4	17.9	-1.43
Antonio Daniels	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-7	5	13.8	16.6	-2.89	17.9	16.3	1.56
Antawn Jamison	87	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.26	-9	0	-9	14.7	11.0	3.68	17.6	14.3	3.22
Caron Butler	86	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	14.7	11.5	3.20	17.4	18.4	-1.01
DeShawn Stevenson	45	46	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.07	-24	15	-39	16.2	13.0	3.20	16.5	18.5	-1.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	73	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-7	23	17.5	17.4	0.04	14.9	13.1	1.81
Tayshaun Prince	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-4	17	17.4	17.8	-0.43	14.9	12.0	2.91
Richard Hamilton	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	17.0	18.8	-1.80	14.8	14.0	0.80
Rasheed Wallace	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-1	11	17.4	17.9	-0.57	14.7	13.7	1.00
Lindsey Hunter	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	3	3	17.7	17.2	0.42	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Dale Davis	12	12	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	2	5	14.2	17.9	-3.69	16.6	14.2	2.34
Antonio McDyess	19	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	11	-13	18.7	17.1	1.64	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Ronald Dupree	6	7	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	10	-11	21.7	17.1	4.52	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Nazr Mohammed	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	8	-7	17.6	17.3	0.26	14.9	14.2	0.71
Carlos Delfino	8	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	11	-13	16.9	17.5	-0.63	11.3	14.8	-3.55
Ronald Murray	27	27	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	24	-39	18.1	17.1	1.01	13.0	15.2	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	92.1%
ORL 92, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,1,1	92.1%
DEN 88, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	92.0%