inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 100 Excitement3.4 [1128] MVPSteve Francis (NYK): +8.7%
Miami Heat 76 Comeback1.1 [318] LVPAntoine Walker (MIA): -12.0%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.02-0.02964%0.112-0.024100%0.03
David Lee0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.02675%0.102-0.024100%0.01
Channing Frye0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.01771%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.03876%0.114-0.091100%0.01
Nate Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06440%0.0120.002100%0.01
Jamal Crawford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.10-0.010.071373%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Jerome James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.06490%0.0110.00250%-0.01
Renaldo Balkman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0000.0020%0.00
Mardy Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.001235%-0.0200.00250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.010.01775%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.031850%0.062-0.034100%0.02
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02150%-0.0010.002100%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.0540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.11-0.00-0.10812%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01741%-0.001-0.02333%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.000.041148%-0.001-0.03560%-0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.001-0.03475%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02850%0.044-0.0700%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.02915%-0.111-0.01250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.630.315.728.12.425.7130.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +36.8%
NYK +5.5%
NYK +2.3%
NYK +5.4%
NYK +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMIANBANYKMIANBA
this game16.114.915.4107.581.7104.5
season15.716.0103.7102.4
opponent15.615.4104.3106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.616.015.518.616.1
MIA13.112.818.815.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Francis43440.58-0.080.65-0.1625-12614.617.3-2.6915.314.50.81
Channing Frye49500.490.010.48-0.2726-22815.117.1-1.9715.913.82.09
Quentin Richardson57580.470.030.44-0.2926-22815.217.4-2.1415.014.70.38
Stephon Marbury47480.280.220.07-0.241861215.416.7-1.3116.013.72.37
Eddy Curry57570.250.25-0.01-0.051014-415.417.2-1.8715.414.11.37
Jerome James27270.180.32-0.15-0.03717-1016.715.80.8914.615.0-0.47
Jamal Crawford49470.100.40-0.31-0.261212015.616.7-1.1113.316.5-3.27
David Lee42400.070.43-0.35-0.221014-415.916.2-0.3112.916.4-3.45
Renaldo Balkman37370.040.46-0.410.10-226-2817.415.22.1614.515.2-0.72
Nate Robinson36360.040.46-0.410.10-226-2817.415.22.1414.315.3-0.96
Malik Rose10100.000.50-0.500.15-529-3423.715.28.5416.614.71.91
Mardy Collins11110.000.50-0.500.15-529-3422.515.27.3417.014.62.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Quinn780.00-0.500.50-0.093-273014.714.9-0.1924.215.38.94
Jason Kapono1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-273015.714.70.9721.015.15.87
Wayne Simien2323-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-211815.614.70.9518.515.33.19
Dorell Wright3839-0.08-0.420.340.07-5-191415.114.80.3217.415.12.25
James Posey2827-0.12-0.380.270.27-13-11-214.415.1-0.7716.316.00.26
Michael Doleac3638-0.20-0.300.110.21-14-10-413.915.5-1.5517.715.02.72
Dwyane Wade7172-0.27-0.23-0.050.28-19-5-1414.316.8-2.5215.617.8-2.24
Alonzo Mourning4948-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-12015.414.31.1314.617.6-3.00
Gary Payton4949-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-12014.815.0-0.1614.617.7-3.09
Jason Williams3634-0.37-0.13-0.240.13-17-7-1015.714.41.4015.716.3-0.58
Antoine Walker4948-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-16-8-814.615.2-0.6814.717.5-2.78
Udonis Haslem6564-0.41-0.09-0.330.03-15-9-615.214.21.0215.218.0-2.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 92, WAS 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
GSW 125, HOU 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
HOU 103, UTA 900.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,095.5%