NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	76		Excitement	5.6 [723]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +8.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.4 [987]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -14.1%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	89%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Cedric Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	46%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	13	65%	0.05	6	-0.13	5	40%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.04	9	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	15	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	30.5	15.8	24.6	2.0	29.4	129.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +12.2%

LAC +15.4%

NOK -2.5%

LAC +24.1%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	LAC	NBA	NOK	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.4	84.4	102.2	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		102.8	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.4	13.0	18.1	15.3	15.3
LAC	14.0	17.0	18.9	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	61	61	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-16	16	16.4	12.9	3.58	17.4	15.2	2.22
Hilton Armstrong	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	7.7	15.6	-7.89	20.5	16.6	3.87
Desmond Mason	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-10	4	15.1	15.7	-0.59	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Jannero Pargo	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.5	15.2	0.28	16.0	17.0	-1.01
Cedric Simmons	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-6	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.13	14.6	18.0	-3.32
Chris Paul	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.2	15.5	-0.28	17.0	16.0	1.01
Peja Stojakovic	62	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	15.4	15.1	0.26	17.3	15.6	1.68
Bobby Jackson	45	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-9	2	15.1	15.4	-0.31	15.8	17.8	-1.96
Rasual Butler	27	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	15.7	15.1	0.59	16.9	16.6	0.32
David West	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	4	-24	15.0	16.2	-1.25	17.2	15.6	1.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-6	28	16.3	17.5	-1.17	14.4	16.7	-2.23
Sam Cassell	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	0	16	16.6	17.1	-0.56	15.3	15.1	0.18
Corey Maggette	40	39	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	0	16	17.3	16.2	1.15	13.7	16.5	-2.86
Elton Brand	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	5	6	16.5	17.5	-1.01	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Chris Kaman	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	15	-14	17.9	15.4	2.49	16.6	13.8	2.86
Cuttino Mobley	55	55	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	14	-12	15.9	17.9	-2.02	16.1	13.9	2.20
Quinton Ross	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	8	0	16.9	16.2	0.63	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Shaun Livingston	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	12	-8	16.7	16.8	-0.10	15.4	15.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	94.4%
MIL 70, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.68,0.68,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.0%
LAC 99, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.9%