NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	7.7 [304]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +18.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	97		Comeback	1.1 [572]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -23.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.09	0.02	24	61%	0.25	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	12	57%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	76%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	8	62%	0.18	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	8	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.06
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.09
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.09	0.02	22	43%	-0.08	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	31.7	16.0	25.5	2.0	41.7	143.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +65.8%

CHA -21.4%

CLE +22.1%

CHA -18.8%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.6	105.2	101.0	104.4
season	16.2	14.8		105.6	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	16.8	16.4	16.1	16.2
CHA	13.3	13.7	14.2	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-6	16	15.9	17.5	-1.58	14.2	12.0	2.19
Eric Snow	59	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	16.8	15.3	1.54	15.6	10.7	4.92
Drew Gooden	51	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-2	8	16.5	15.9	0.54	14.6	12.8	1.76
LeBron James	82	83	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	2	0	16.4	15.4	1.01	13.6	15.2	-1.59
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	1	2	16.0	16.4	-0.45	15.6	12.1	3.47
Anderson Varejao	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	0	4	16.4	16.0	0.38	11.8	15.5	-3.65
Ira Newble	4	4	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	3	-2	1.5	16.9	-15.36	6.7	14.1	-7.34
Donyell Marshall	51	49	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	9	-14	16.0	16.5	-0.47	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Damon Jones	45	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	16.9	15.6	1.26	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Sasha Pavlovic	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	16.4	16.2	0.29	10.4	14.7	-4.21

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	12.1	14.5	-2.41	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Matt Carroll	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	13.0	14.3	-1.29	16.8	15.9	0.92
Jumaine Jones	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-7	10	13.6	14.6	-1.03	15.2	19.7	-4.49
Bernard Robinson	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	0	-4	12.9	14.5	-1.58	17.1	15.5	1.60
Brevin Knight	78	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-4	4	13.9	13.2	0.76	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Raymond Felton	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	13.9	13.3	0.59	15.9	17.4	-1.44
Primoz Brezec	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	14.8	11.6	3.12	16.8	15.0	1.82
Gerald Wallace	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	4	-12	14.4	11.4	2.94	16.5	15.0	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.6%
NJN 116, VAN 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.6%