NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +28.8%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.5 [984]		LVP	Donell Taylor (WAS): -8.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	11	58%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Calvin Booth	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Billy Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	24	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,-0.04	0.09	-0.11	0.03	25	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Donell Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	3	83%	-0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.17	-0.02	25	66%	0.45	7	-0.16	8	100%	0.04
Luther Head	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	-0.00	0.01	11	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	68%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.05
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	29.1	15.8	26.1	2.7	36.0	134.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.9%

HOU +6.5%

WAS -4.8%

WAS -12.9%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.6	15.6	109.6	111.7	104.4
season	15.1	16.1		107.4	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.6		101.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	16.2	15.1	13.6	15.0
HOU	14.9	15.8	14.3	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Thomas	8	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	12.2	15.3	-3.01	16.1	15.6	0.55
Jared Jeffries	68	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.34	12	-14	26	14.3	16.7	-2.39	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Donell Taylor	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-13	24	13.8	15.5	-1.75	17.1	15.0	2.15
Michael Ruffin	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	17.1	14.7	2.41	17.2	15.4	1.85
Caron Butler	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	4	-10	15.3	14.6	0.73	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Etan Thomas	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	6	-14	15.2	14.8	0.47	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Calvin Booth	16	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	9	-20	16.9	14.6	2.26	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Antonio Daniels	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	15.0	15.0	0.05	16.4	14.2	2.20
Gilbert Arenas	88	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.7	1.42	15.5	18.0	-2.52
Antawn Jamison	88	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.7	1.42	15.5	18.0	-2.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	86	85	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.51	10	-8	18	15.3	19.1	-3.81	15.3	12.6	2.70
Yao Ming	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-5	12	15.7	15.5	0.20	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Rick Brunson	19	18	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	-3	8	17.4	15.2	2.23	15.9	14.8	1.17
Luther Head	77	77	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	16.0	13.9	2.14	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Stromile Swift	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	3	-4	16.0	15.3	0.67	15.4	14.7	0.68
Ryan Bowen	0	1	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	2	-2	0.0	15.6	-15.64	16.0	15.0	1.01
Rafer Alston	75	76	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	5	-8	15.2	17.4	-2.23	14.8	15.9	-1.17
Dikembe Mutombo	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	0	2	16.8	15.5	1.30	16.4	14.8	1.57
Juwan Howard	58	55	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	6	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.35	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Richie Frahm	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	7	-12	15.6	15.7	-0.11	14.5	15.2	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.58,1	93.6%
CLE 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.98,1	93.2%
MIN 93, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,1,1,1	92.0%