inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 87 Excitement2.7 [1238] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +13.6%
Orlando Magic 111 Comeback1.1 [1178] LVPMaurice Taylor (NYK): -11.0%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddy Curry0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.000.03768%0.0800.00837%-0.01
Nate Robinson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04571%0.0310.007100%0.00
David Lee0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Rose0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01857%0.041-0.035100%0.02
Qyntel Woods0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01658%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jackie Butler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01457%0.022-0.04667%0.00
Quentin Richardson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jerome James-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01560%0.014-0.0700%0.00
Steve Francis-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00250%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.000.011052%0.015-0.093100%0.01
Maurice Taylor-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.0240%-0.043-0.0700%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.200.010.081185%0.151-0.025100%0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.01976%0.142-0.043100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.00-0.06943%0.0700.00580%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011254%0.0300.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011154%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.08725%0.0110.002100%0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05669%0.021-0.024100%0.01
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00845%0.002-0.05667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.430.416.624.52.529.2132.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +12.7%
ORL +12.6%
ORL +4.2%
ORL +24.3%
NYK -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKORLNBANYKORLNBA
this game15.816.515.698.9123.3104.4
season15.716.4102.1104.4
opponent15.715.4105.9108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.615.517.414.915.8
ORL15.114.516.920.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nate Robinson3638-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-201615.915.80.0518.714.93.74
Eddy Curry4243-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-191415.915.80.0517.915.32.56
Jackie Butler4748-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-252615.416.3-0.9615.917.2-1.30
Quentin Richardson3838-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-181216.215.60.5818.215.32.88
Jalen Rose1920-0.15-0.350.190.08-8-16815.316.0-0.6615.916.7-0.74
David Lee2829-0.17-0.330.170.18-12-12017.115.21.9317.216.20.96
Steve Francis2222-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-14415.416.0-0.6215.416.9-1.47
Qyntel Woods3132-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-14415.715.9-0.1414.917.4-2.51
Maurice Taylor3940-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-11-13214.716.7-2.0015.717.1-1.39
Jamal Crawford5355-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-11-216.015.60.3815.617.9-2.32
Jerome James2020-0.37-0.13-0.240.24-21-3-1817.115.41.7115.716.8-1.06
Stephon Marbury6565-0.44-0.06-0.380.18-21-3-1815.815.80.0616.416.8-0.44

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard43420.460.040.42-0.212312216.716.40.3416.615.11.56
Jameer Nelson54530.410.090.33-0.202131815.118.7-3.5716.215.21.05
Hedo Turkoglu51510.410.090.32-0.172041615.018.6-3.6015.915.80.08
Tony Battie58580.360.140.22-0.171861216.316.9-0.6415.815.80.04
Keyon Dooling41400.320.180.14-0.15168817.415.81.6416.715.11.60
DeShawn Stevenson41410.180.32-0.14-0.05816-815.617.3-1.6815.516.1-0.64
Darko Milicic58580.150.35-0.20-0.151014-417.315.22.1215.516.4-0.92
Trevor Ariza39370.090.41-0.32-0.03420-1618.615.03.6015.815.9-0.08
Carlos Arroyo36350.090.41-0.33-0.00321-1818.715.13.5715.216.2-1.05
Bo Outlaw21180.030.47-0.430.12-327-3014.717.1-2.3614.916.1-1.18
Travis Diener870.000.50-0.500.00024-2416.616.50.1112.916.1-3.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 82, SAS 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
UTA 92, CLE 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.8%
LAL 89, OKC 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%