NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	112		Excitement	5.5 [743]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +30.8%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.8 [443]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -6.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.21	0.10	0.01	15	84%	0.31	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	3	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	21	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	19	66%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	18	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	17	53%	0.09	3	-0.08	13	92%	0.04
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	26.3	16.3	22.4	2.7	39.6	131.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +52.9%

WAS -7.1%

WAS -18.9%

NJN +17.3%

NJN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.6	124.4	109.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.1		102.1	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	18.4	14.2	15.9	15.9
WAS	17.0	15.1	17.7	14.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-6	24	15.7	16.5	-0.73	16.6	13.4	3.21
Lamond Murray	19	21	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	17.2	15.5	1.65	15.1	16.2	-1.13
Clifford Robinson	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	10	-8	17.1	15.0	2.17	13.6	17.5	-3.94
Zoran Planinic	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	9	-6	18.3	14.7	3.57	15.6	16.1	-0.56
Vince Carter	72	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	5	2	14.9	19.6	-4.69	16.1	15.4	0.65
Jason Kidd	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	3	6	15.4	18.0	-2.64	16.2	14.8	1.41
Jason Collins	68	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	7	-2	15.1	18.3	-3.26	16.7	13.7	3.10
Jacque Vaughn	22	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	11	-10	17.1	15.5	1.64	13.7	16.8	-3.07
Nenad Krstic	54	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	7	-2	15.7	16.1	-0.33	17.2	14.2	3.00
Antoine Wright	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	12	-12	0.0	15.9	-15.86	12.0	16.0	-4.01
Scott Padgett	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	21.0	15.8	5.20	5.5	16.2	-10.70
Bostjan Nachbar	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	21.0	15.8	5.20	5.5	16.2	-10.70

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-15	18	13.9	16.5	-2.62	18.4	15.2	3.19
Billy Thomas	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	11.0	16.1	-5.14	10.5	16.0	-5.48
Antonio Daniels	65	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-15	18	15.4	17.5	-2.15	15.6	16.4	-0.74
Brendan Haywood	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-9	6	16.4	15.5	0.90	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Jared Jeffries	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.14	-9	-3	-6	17.5	15.6	1.90	14.9	16.1	-1.14
Andray Blatche	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-9	6	15.1	16.2	-1.10	16.5	15.7	0.73
Antawn Jamison	82	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	16.1	14.9	1.20	15.9	15.4	0.51
Gilbert Arenas	85	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-7	2	16.4	10.5	5.85	16.1	9.7	6.40
Michael Ruffin	23	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Donell Taylor	13	11	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.3	16.2	-1.94	16.9	15.7	1.20
Caron Butler	83	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	2	-16	16.2	13.2	2.98	15.6	19.0	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 118, GSW 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.1%
PHI 104, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0	94.0%
SAS 85, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0,0	93.8%