NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	6.9 [451]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +38.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	114		Comeback	1.5 [436]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -6.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.38	0.15	0.23	-0.00	19	69%	0.48	4	-0.10	11	100%	0.08
Antawn Jamison	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.01	19	80%	0.35	6	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	18	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Awvee Storey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donell Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	9	59%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.7	29.2	15.3	30.3	2.5	36.6	145.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.2%

WAS +31.2%

CHA -5.1%

CHA -6.6%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	13.2	15.6	113.3	108.6	104.4
season	15.1	14.8		107.4	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.6	14.3	15.1	14.6	14.2
CHA	16.2	13.4	11.1	12.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	79	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	13.8	15.3	-1.47	12.2	16.2	-3.98
Gilbert Arenas	99	100	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	14.3	13.0	1.27	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Caron Butler	98	98	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	14.1	15.1	-1.01	13.3	12.6	0.70
Antawn Jamison	93	92	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	14.2	14.6	-0.43	13.1	14.3	-1.23
Etan Thomas	24	26	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-3	11	13.7	14.3	-0.58	15.0	12.6	2.41
Jared Jeffries	46	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	6	-7	14.4	14.0	0.38	14.9	12.0	2.87
Brendan Haywood	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	4	-3	13.8	14.4	-0.61	14.5	12.5	2.01
Donell Taylor	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	5	-5	15.1	14.1	1.01	12.6	13.3	-0.70
Michael Ruffin	28	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.0	0.75	10.4	14.3	-3.92
Awvee Storey	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.6	14.1	1.47	15.4	13.1	2.28
Andray Blatche	5	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	18.2	14.0	4.20	13.8	13.2	0.64

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	72	74	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-16	27	12.9	14.0	-1.08	15.0	12.3	2.66
Brevin Knight	77	80	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-14	23	13.2	13.2	0.02	14.9	12.0	2.89
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	13.1	13.3	-0.14	14.3	14.2	0.16
Matt Carroll	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	1	-7	12.2	13.8	-1.57	13.1	14.8	-1.67
Jumaine Jones	60	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-6	7	14.6	11.4	3.28	14.8	13.4	1.40
Kareem Rush	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	12.1	13.8	-1.66	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Raymond Felton	63	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	1	-7	13.6	12.6	1.02	13.3	15.4	-2.18
Bernard Robinson	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	2	-9	11.7	14.9	-3.15	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Melvin Ely	47	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	9	-23	13.1	13.3	-0.14	13.4	14.8	-1.44
Primoz Brezec	61	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	4	-13	14.5	11.4	3.09	14.1	14.3	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.24,0.18,0	92.9%
ORL 87, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0	92.9%
MIL 92, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0	92.8%