NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	6.6 [498]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +12.8%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.3 [883]		LVP	Milt Palacio (UTA): -21.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	42%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.01	4	-0.07	12	50%	-0.09
Carlos Arroyo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	9	58%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	4	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.08,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.13	0.03	8	69%	0.28	4	-0.15	10	100%	0.16
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.03	15	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	14	57%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	12	58%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	7	28%	-0.14	1	-0.08	4	25%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	30.4	16.0	31.0	1.8	38.3	144.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +4.1%

UTA +35.6%

UTA +18.3%

ORL -11.6%

UTA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	18.2	15.6	102.4	107.1	104.4
season	16.4	17.0		104.4	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.4	15.6	18.6	14.4	16.2
UTA	17.9	17.1	16.6	21.6	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	36	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.24	11	-16	27	15.9	16.5	-0.65	19.4	17.4	1.99
Bo Outlaw	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-6	7	15.5	16.5	-1.05	19.7	17.7	1.94
Darko Milicic	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-3	1	17.2	15.5	1.71	16.9	19.3	-2.38
Hedo Turkoglu	42	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-4	3	17.0	15.4	1.61	19.9	16.4	3.44
Stacey Augmon	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	0	-5	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.8	19.6	-3.76
Carlos Arroyo	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	15.2	17.4	-2.15	17.6	19.1	-1.50
Tony Battie	36	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	1	-7	15.6	16.7	-1.19	18.0	18.4	-0.45
Dwight Howard	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	16.3	15.6	0.68	18.6	15.8	2.80
DeShawn Stevenson	50	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.2	0.03	18.5	17.8	0.66
Jameer Nelson	45	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	10	-25	16.5	15.9	0.66	17.8	18.8	-1.08

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	18.6	17.5	1.18	16.3	16.0	0.29
Jarron Collins	54	52	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	18.8	17.2	1.63	16.9	15.1	1.81
Mehmet Okur	65	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-2	9	18.0	19.3	-1.31	16.3	16.1	0.15
Andrei Kirilenko	62	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-5	15	18.8	16.7	2.12	16.9	14.6	2.30
Deron Williams	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	3	-1	19.1	16.0	3.10	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Greg Ostertag	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	3	-1	15.7	18.7	-2.92	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Devin Brown	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	7	-9	17.1	18.6	-1.48	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Keith McLeod	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	16.6	19.2	-2.62	16.3	16.2	0.07
Carlos Boozer	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	11	-17	19.0	17.8	1.22	15.0	16.9	-1.98
Matt Harpring	29	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	16	-27	16.9	19.0	-2.12	15.3	16.8	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	93.2%
WAS 89, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.73,1	92.7%
PHX 93, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.64,0.57,0.73,1	92.4%