NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	4.2 [989]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	1.1 [1165]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -15.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	64%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	56%	0.03	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.02	0.07	15	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	7	25%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	0.03	12	40%	-0.06	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	23	66%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	36%	-0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	11	45%	0.03	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.4	15.7	27.1	2.4	39.3	140.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.4%

LAC +4.5%

LAC +0.7%

LAC +0.8%

LAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	12.7	15.4	15.6	86.1	91.3	104.4
season	14.8	15.2		100.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	12.0	12.4	12.9	12.7
LAC	14.8	16.8	14.2	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	30	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-16	24	12.3	12.8	-0.51	16.2	15.0	1.28
Bernard Robinson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-9	10	15.2	12.5	2.78	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Jake Voskuhl	42	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-21	34	12.4	12.9	-0.53	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Primoz Brezec	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	1	-10	12.4	12.9	-0.54	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Raymond Felton	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-7	6	14.0	11.1	2.85	15.8	14.9	0.95
Melvin Ely	39	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	12.8	12.6	0.25	16.5	14.6	1.86
Brevin Knight	85	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	12.4	14.4	-2.00	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Matt Carroll	51	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	11.9	13.5	-1.60	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Jumaine Jones	72	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	6	-20	12.6	12.9	-0.24	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Gerald Wallace	78	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	2	-12	12.8	12.2	0.67	15.7	14.3	1.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-8	24	15.1	16.4	-1.27	12.6	13.1	-0.51
Elton Brand	93	89	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-4	16	15.1	17.3	-2.13	12.7	12.3	0.41
Cuttino Mobley	86	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-6	20	15.3	15.7	-0.43	13.1	10.6	2.53
Vladimir Radmanovic	92	88	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-8	24	15.0	17.8	-2.79	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Walter McCarty	70	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-7	22	15.2	15.7	-0.55	12.9	12.4	0.49
Daniel Ewing	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	16	-24	16.7	14.8	1.88	13.2	12.5	0.77
Shaun Livingston	32	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	19	-30	15.7	15.2	0.56	12.8	12.7	0.12
Zeljko Rebraca	35	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	22	-36	16.5	14.8	1.69	11.7	13.2	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 110, TOR 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 88, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%