NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	4.2 [996]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -7.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	3	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.02	29	56%	0.14	5	-0.15	12	83%	0.01
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Devin Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.02	-0.07	12	28%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.00
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	24	56%	0.18	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.03	-0.05	13	63%	0.15	3	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	9	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	39.2	18.3	28.1	2.8	38.1	153.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.5%

LAL -7.6%

LAC +5.5%

LAC +22.7%

LAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.6	88.3	110.9	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		106.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	17.4	13.4	16.3	16.1
LAC	16.3	13.9	13.2	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	15	14	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-22	25	14.0	16.5	-2.49	16.5	14.6	1.94
Sasha Vujacic	24	25	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-28	37	18.2	15.4	2.89	16.2	14.4	1.84
Ronny Turiaf	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-15	11	18.1	15.7	2.42	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Devean George	36	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-19	19	15.2	16.7	-1.46	15.5	14.4	1.10
Devin Green	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-16	13	16.8	16.0	0.79	10.0	15.1	-5.14
Brian Cook	39	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-5	-9	13.5	17.9	-4.46	14.2	15.3	-1.14
Kwame Brown	48	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-6	-7	18.5	13.6	4.87	14.9	14.8	0.06
Lamar Odom	84	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-8	-3	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Kobe Bryant	82	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-3	-13	16.4	14.2	2.21	15.0	12.9	2.17
Chris Mihm	51	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	-1	-17	15.6	16.7	-1.02	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Smush Parker	70	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.28	-28	9	-37	15.4	18.2	-2.89	14.4	16.2	-1.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.02	20	-1	21	14.8	15.0	-0.17	16.3	15.1	1.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	87	89	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.08	21	-2	23	14.9	14.4	0.49	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Cuttino Mobley	88	90	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-2	23	14.9	13.2	1.68	16.0	19.0	-3.03
Sam Cassell	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-6	31	14.8	15.0	-0.18	15.0	20.0	-5.03
Walter McCarty	33	35	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	4	11	15.2	14.7	0.46	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Chris Kaman	16	16	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	8	3	15.9	14.6	1.23	20.1	15.3	4.78
Shaun Livingston	35	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	26	-33	16.2	14.0	2.16	17.9	14.9	2.96
Daniel Ewing	13	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	20	-21	11.8	15.4	-3.51	17.9	15.8	2.15
Yaroslav Korolev	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	19	-19	16.4	14.8	1.63	12.0	16.3	-4.33
James Singleton	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	20	-21	8.3	15.1	-6.75	16.5	16.1	0.41
Zeljko Rebraca	32	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	28	-37	14.1	15.3	-1.22	14.9	16.7	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, NOH 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 75, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BKN 109, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%