inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 83 Excitement4.8 [881] MVPRasheed Wallace (DET): +15.9%
Detroit Pistons 88 Comeback1.3 [1055] LVPFred Jones (IND): -11.4%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.010,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.011061%0.063-0.053100%0.02
Eddie Gill-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01275%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001246%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Danny Granger-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.030.06779%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.030,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Scot Pollard-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03731%0.002-0.06250%-0.00
David Harrison-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.03-0.04343%0.034-0.101100%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.01-0.011837%0.003-0.07450%-0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.06856%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Fred Jones-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.020.021041%-0.033-0.082100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.020.021874%0.202-0.042100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.05-0.04868%0.151-0.003100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dale Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Acker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.051331%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031243%0.033-0.07683%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0110%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.010.041347%-0.042-0.044100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.83.531.219.029.33.530.6143.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +23.1%
DET +6.9%
IND -13.4%
DET +29.5%
DET +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDETNBAINDDETNBA
this game15.116.915.692.297.8104.4
season16.016.9102.3108.3
opponent15.815.5101.4100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.214.016.013.415.1
DET16.317.317.516.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Gill89-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-152510.715.5-4.7314.917.2-2.28
Anthony Johnson5150-0.09-0.410.320.14-83-1116.013.82.1317.316.50.80
David Harrison3839-0.15-0.350.20-0.5012-172913.216.4-3.1516.817.1-0.31
Danny Granger3839-0.17-0.330.17-0.4911-162713.716.1-2.3716.317.5-1.17
Fred Jones4343-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.467-121914.215.8-1.6216.617.2-0.61
Jeff Foster5251-0.33-0.17-0.170.14-1611-2716.113.72.3717.516.31.17
Peja Stojakovic6262-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-127-1915.813.32.5217.615.61.99
Scot Pollard5251-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-1712-2916.413.23.1517.116.80.31
Stephen Jackson6766-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-1510-2515.414.11.3016.817.2-0.36
Sarunas Jasikevicius3940-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.503-81113.816.0-2.1316.517.3-0.80

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace67690.50-0.000.500.0316-112717.116.50.6315.413.91.50
Chauncey Billups66680.480.020.470.0116-112717.715.02.7115.414.11.28
Ben Wallace58580.450.050.400.1012-71917.915.12.8216.113.22.90
Tayshaun Prince73740.440.060.370.2950517.215.91.3115.513.02.50
Richard Hamilton67680.290.210.090.2423-116.917.1-0.1915.015.1-0.05
Carlos Delfino34330.200.30-0.090.1714-317.316.70.5614.115.6-1.57
Maurice Evans11100.070.43-0.370.24-611-1711.517.7-6.2513.315.3-1.98
Antonio McDyess38380.050.45-0.400.08-16-717.316.70.6014.515.5-1.01
Lindsey Hunter20190.020.48-0.470.10-38-1116.117.2-1.0915.015.1-0.07
Jason Maxiell430.000.50-0.500.23-813-219.217.3-8.058.315.3-6.95
Alex Acker430.000.50-0.500.23-813-219.217.3-8.058.315.3-6.95
Dale Davis87-0.000.50-0.500.03-16-714.717.2-2.4111.715.3-3.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 75, OKC 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
LAL 80, SEA 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.6%
TOR 101, MIA 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.92,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%