NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	103		Excitement	3.2 [1174]		MVP	Jason Williams (MIA): +8.6%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.1 [600]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -9.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	13	80%	0.15	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	43%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	17	82%	0.02
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	87%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Simien	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.03	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	69%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	65%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jerome James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	29.2	15.6	25.8	2.0	25.4	127.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +28.0%

MIA +12.2%

MIA +2.4%

MIA +2.7%

MIA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.6	109.6	88.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		106.1	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.8	13.2	16.8	17.0	15.4
NYK	17.1	14.5	13.8	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	48	49	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.23	24	-4	28	13.9	16.9	-2.97	15.9	14.6	1.36
Alonzo Mourning	45	42	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-1	22	15.3	15.4	-0.12	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Dwyane Wade	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	3	14	15.4	15.3	0.06	15.3	15.1	0.19
Udonis Haslem	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	2	16	15.9	13.9	2.00	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Gary Payton	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	-3	26	15.5	15.2	0.32	15.9	14.5	1.40
Jason Williams	73	74	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	15	-10	15.2	16.1	-0.99	15.2	15.4	-0.23
James Posey	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	17	-14	15.6	15.2	0.35	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Shaquille O'Neal	41	44	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	18	-16	15.2	15.5	-0.27	16.7	14.0	2.70
Shandon Anderson	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	20	-20	16.2	15.1	1.18	16.0	15.0	1.04
Dorell Wright	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	15.7	15.4	0.31	11.3	15.5	-4.20
Michael Doleac	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	16.5	15.3	1.23	13.5	15.4	-1.93
Wayne Simien	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	16.5	15.3	1.23	13.5	15.4	-1.93

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	7	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-19	18	14.6	15.3	-0.75	9.8	15.7	-5.92
Quentin Richardson	43	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-24	28	14.9	15.6	-0.66	17.1	13.8	3.38
Channing Frye	59	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-16	12	15.6	14.8	0.79	16.7	13.0	3.72
Qyntel Woods	13	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-17	14	15.5	15.2	0.32	17.5	15.0	2.57
Eddy Curry	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	-11	2	15.6	15.1	0.55	16.1	14.9	1.17
David Lee	30	29	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.15	-10	-10	0	14.7	15.5	-0.88	15.6	15.3	0.31
Jalen Rose	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-13	6	15.2	15.3	-0.04	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Nate Robinson	37	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	-7	-6	13.9	16.1	-2.18	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Stephon Marbury	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-13	6	15.6	14.7	0.83	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Maurice Taylor	38	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-4	-12	15.2	15.3	-0.18	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Malik Rose	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-7	-6	15.1	15.4	-0.27	14.1	16.4	-2.30
Jamal Crawford	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	1	-22	16.3	14.3	2.02	15.5	15.2	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0	96.5%
DET 115, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
LAL 123, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%