inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 91 Excitement2.9 [1209] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +11.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Comeback1.0 [1269] LVPNick Collison (SEA): -6.1%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.001468%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Robert Swift0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03650%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06680%0.022-0.02367%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.080.000.081374%0.065-0.06875%0.00
Johan Petro-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00360%0.012-0.02450%-0.01
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01662%0.023-0.034100%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01744%0.003-0.06250%0.00
Nick Collison-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01922%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.011266%0.131-0.02580%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.021068%0.0900.002100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.00683%0.0800.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.051167%0.042-0.02580%0.01
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.02750%0.022-0.00250%-0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02671%0.074-0.062100%0.01
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01839%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02739%0.011-0.02475%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03643%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.827.115.824.12.426.3123.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +19.4%
MIL +8.0%
MIL +9.5%
MIL +11.9%
MIL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAMILNBASEAMILNBA
this game15.115.915.698.9112.8104.4
season15.015.5108.9104.6
opponent15.515.8106.0112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA15.915.115.913.615.1
MIL16.913.216.117.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mateen Cleaves1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-253511.615.7-4.1621.114.96.19
Robert Swift4649-0.07-0.430.35-0.194-192314.315.9-1.5917.014.62.34
Mikki Moore1312-0.08-0.420.340.13-7-8116.514.91.5911.816.5-4.62
Reggie Evans2020-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-4-717.214.52.7512.116.9-4.78
Luke Ridnour5557-0.25-0.250.01-0.19-2-131114.416.1-1.6916.514.91.51
Nick Collison4241-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-8114.815.3-0.4918.114.13.97
Damien Wilkins5253-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-7-114.715.6-0.8414.417.8-3.45
Rashard Lewis6467-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.06-8-7-115.115.00.1416.214.91.31
Ronald Murray4242-0.35-0.15-0.200.20-194-2315.514.80.7014.517.0-2.46
Johan Petro4241-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-172-1915.914.41.4814.816.7-1.83
Ray Allen7073-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-10-5-515.713.32.4016.115.01.17

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd61590.450.050.39-0.0517-21915.316.8-1.4715.314.80.48
Charlie Bell56550.350.150.19-0.01123915.416.6-1.2515.714.21.52
Joe Smith39370.340.160.18-0.2219-42313.617.5-3.8417.113.83.32
Bobby Simmons41400.310.190.12-0.071321116.615.31.3315.714.61.11
Dan Gadzuric36350.290.210.07-0.1816-11714.216.9-2.6616.714.12.61
Jamaal Magloire48480.210.29-0.070.07510-516.115.60.5414.915.3-0.42
Jiri Welsch54520.200.30-0.100.14213-1115.017.0-2.0214.615.7-1.11
T.J. Ford44430.170.33-0.170.08312-916.615.21.4114.715.4-0.66
Andrew Bogut44450.150.35-0.210.09213-1117.214.72.4414.515.7-1.19
Toni Kukoc27270.040.46-0.420.10-217-1916.915.51.3914.015.5-1.50
Ervin Johnson1090.000.50-0.500.18-621-2720.515.35.199.915.7-5.77
Jermaine Jackson10100.000.50-0.500.18-621-2720.515.35.1910.515.7-5.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 91, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
ATL 72, WAS 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
NJN 64, IND 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%