NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	81		Excitement	9.7 [98]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +54.8%
Golden State Warriors	79		Comeback	5.3 [173]		LVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): -27.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.21	-0.07	0.26	-0.01	26	40%	0.25	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.2,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.11	0.00	11	45%	0.18	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	36%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Hakim Warrick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.55	0.55	0.08	0.47	0.00	14	62%	0.61	1	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	14	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.19	-0.08	0.00	12	26%	-0.11	5	-0.16	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	35.6	16.6	24.5	2.4	39.0	149.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -15.3%

MEM +14.3%

MEM +42.8%

MEM +14.6%

GSW -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.6	88.0	85.9	104.4
season	17.1	14.8		103.5	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	15.0	19.4	16.7	16.8
GSW	15.8	15.0	10.6	16.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	46	47	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.43	20	-18	38	15.0	18.6	-3.52	17.2	11.7	5.55
Chucky Atkins	53	54	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-6	14	17.4	16.0	1.44	15.5	13.1	2.38
Bobby Jackson	49	48	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.65	1	1	0	15.3	18.5	-3.16	13.2	15.9	-2.61
Pau Gasol	76	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	1	0	17.2	14.7	2.56	14.8	12.9	1.94
Eddie Jones	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.51	-8	10	-18	17.7	14.4	3.30	14.0	15.9	-1.83
Antonio Burks	17	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	-6	14	11.9	17.9	-6.04	15.4	14.3	1.05
Lorenzen Wright	39	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	17.2	16.5	0.70	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Hakim Warrick	46	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	3	-4	16.2	17.5	-1.30	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Jake Tsakalidis	10	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	6	-10	17.5	16.7	0.78	10.3	15.0	-4.62
Dahntay Jones	57	56	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.14	-16	18	-34	18.9	13.4	5.45	13.3	16.4	-3.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	32	34	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.27	0	-2	2	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.3	17.1	-0.81
Ike Diogu	47	46	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.07	3	-5	8	13.9	15.2	-1.33	17.5	16.1	1.35
Mickael Pietrus	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-10	18	14.1	15.4	-1.29	17.7	14.7	3.06
Calbert Cheaney	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	5	-12	17.7	14.0	3.72	13.6	17.4	-3.73
Monta Ellis	32	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	7	-16	16.1	13.6	2.44	14.2	18.1	-3.91
Adonal Foyle	71	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.53	2	-4	6	14.5	14.4	0.09	18.0	13.1	4.90
Jason Richardson	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.57	0	-2	2	14.6	14.3	0.28	17.0	16.2	0.88
Derek Fisher	79	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.55	-2	0	-2	13.5	20.6	-7.12	17.0	15.5	1.56
Mike Dunleavy	56	57	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.48	-5	3	-8	15.1	13.6	1.51	15.6	18.7	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 110, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.66,0.42,0	91.9%
MEM 104, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.27,0	91.6%
CHI 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.42,0	90.7%