NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	5.4 [756]		MVP	Mike James (TOR): +46.2%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	1.4 [971]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -12.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.33	0.22	0.17	0.05	21	66%	0.38	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	46%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Donell Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	-0.03	0.11	14	69%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.07	13	64%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.46	0.46	0.22	0.25	0.00	16	85%	0.50	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.26	0.05	0.05	19	77%	0.27	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	12	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pape Sow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	14	45%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	28.1	15.8	28.2	2.5	36.4	135.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.1%

WAS -1.2%

TOR +9.0%

WAS -1.1%

TOR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	15.6	120.4	125.8	104.4
season	15.1	15.6		107.4	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		110.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	14.8	16.0	11.8	14.6
TOR	16.7	17.3	14.0	17.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.28	10	-15	25	7.6	15.2	-7.64	20.9	16.0	4.89
Donell Taylor	36	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-13	21	13.3	15.5	-2.12	17.5	15.6	1.95
Brendan Haywood	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	2	-9	14.9	14.5	0.39	17.0	16.0	0.98
Antawn Jamison	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-15	25	14.2	16.9	-2.71	16.4	16.0	0.40
Michael Ruffin	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.2	2.04	13.8	16.9	-3.17
Antonio Daniels	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.7	16.7	-3.00	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Etan Thomas	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	16.6	12.8	3.80	15.4	17.1	-1.66
Jared Jeffries	42	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	9	-23	16.2	13.3	2.92	16.4	16.3	0.13
Caron Butler	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	6	-17	15.2	13.2	2.04	16.6	15.6	1.05
Gilbert Arenas	82	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	-1	-3	14.2	18.2	-4.02	16.0	18.8	-2.82

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	16.2	17.5	-1.31	14.2	17.8	-3.61
Morris Peterson	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	1	3	16.3	16.6	-0.34	14.3	16.6	-2.24
Mike James	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	15.8	17.7	-1.98	13.9	16.2	-2.31
Jalen Rose	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	1	3	15.9	17.6	-1.68	14.1	16.1	-2.01
Charlie Villanueva	59	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	3	-1	16.8	15.6	1.17	15.2	13.6	1.60
Pape Sow	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	16.5	16.3	0.18	16.0	14.1	1.95
Joey Graham	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	3	-1	17.3	15.8	1.53	16.3	13.6	2.68
Jose Calderon	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	16.5	16.2	0.26	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Matt Bonner	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	6	-7	17.7	16.1	1.58	16.3	14.4	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,1	94.2%
SEA 93, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%