NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	119		Excitement	11.6 [30]		MVP	Chris Webber (PHI): +80.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	7.0 [142]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -16.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.21	0.23	0.00	11	100%	0.50	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32	0.14	0.19	0.01	15	69%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.29,0.25	0.06	0.19	-0.00	13	53%	0.28	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	10	71%	0.35	4	-0.20	11	73%	0.01
Steve Francis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	58%	0.16	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	7	39%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Tony Battie	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	9	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.24

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.8	0.80	0.18	0.63	0.01	22	67%	0.82	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	32	50%	0.04	5	-0.12	12	92%	0.08
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	8	19%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.18	0.00	9	52%	-0.02	1	-0.14	3	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	15.5	31.2	1.8	40.7	1.7	18.1	164.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +70.1%

PHI -11.3%

ORL +8.3%

PHI -20.6%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.5	15.6	116.7	113.9	104.4
season	16.4	15.2		104.4	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	14.9	15.0	15.3	17.3	18.3	15.9
PHI	12.8	17.7	16.7	16.1	13.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	67	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	14.8	17.9	-3.12	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Hedo Turkoglu	87	85	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.49	-1	5	-6	15.6	17.7	-2.11	15.1	17.2	-2.05
Keyon Dooling	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	8	-12	16.4	15.0	1.35	15.7	15.1	0.52
Dwight Howard	82	83	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	7	-10	16.4	13.8	2.50	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Travis Diener	12	11	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	-6	16	15.4	15.9	-0.51	16.3	15.4	0.91
Stacey Augmon	12	11	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-5	14	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.3	15.4	0.91
Steve Francis	74	72	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	1	2	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Pat Garrity	54	55	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	0	4	16.7	14.9	1.87	16.2	14.6	1.65
DeShawn Stevenson	57	60	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.14	-5	9	-14	15.6	16.2	-0.68	15.5	15.3	0.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	49	48	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.29	4	-8	12	14.7	16.2	-1.42	14.7	16.9	-2.10
Samuel Dalembert	46	45	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.16	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.0	-1.21	16.2	15.6	0.52
Matt Barnes	20	23	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	18.6	14.7	3.91	16.3	15.7	0.51
Kevin Ollie	28	26	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.31	-7	3	-10	16.9	14.9	1.93	16.8	15.5	1.32
Michael Bradley	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	20.0	15.3	4.72	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Shavlik Randolph	3	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.5	-0.48	24.0	15.7	8.30
Andre Iguodala	88	90	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-11	18	14.7	20.7	-6.00	16.1	14.4	1.64
Allen Iverson	96	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-4	4	15.2	20.6	-5.40	16.0	11.5	4.54
Steven Hunter	44	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	-2	0	16.4	14.7	1.71	15.1	16.5	-1.33
Chris Webber	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	4	-12	15.2	16.2	-1.03	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Kyle Korver	42	42	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.50	-9	5	-14	16.4	14.8	1.65	15.4	16.2	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.54,0.47,0.23,0.02,0.02,0	90.1%
OKC 111, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.14,0.28,0	89.6%
MIL 109, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.71,0.69,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.05,0	89.2%