NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	12.5 [16]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +36.2%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	1.7 [825]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -23.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,0.24	-0.04	0.24	-0.04	16	50%	0.36	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.09
Antonio Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.14	0.02	10	73%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Eddy Curry	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11	-0.01	0.13	0.00	11	46%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome James	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	11	53%	0.22	5	-0.38	8	100%	0.10
Channing Frye	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	9	43%	-0.07	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.36	0.36	0.06	0.33	0.02	28	54%	0.41	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.25	0.00	6	87%	0.39	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	8	70%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	15	60%	0.37	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	0%	-0.06
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	10	46%	-0.08	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	29.3	15.6	23.0	1.8	40.5	1.8	25.3	163.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.8%

NYK -28.7%

NYK -6.9%

CHI +28.8%

CHI +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	14.1	15.6	101.0	102.9	104.4
season	15.7	14.4		102.1	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.4		102.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	17.2	16.8	18.2	16.7	13.5	16.8
CHI	14.1	16.7	12.6	13.9	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	38	38	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.00	9	-11	20	15.9	17.3	-1.39	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Antonio Davis	65	64	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.16	13	-15	28	15.5	19.0	-3.49	14.4	13.5	0.91
Quentin Richardson	49	52	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.24	-6	4	-10	18.7	15.1	3.58	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Nate Robinson	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-10	18	15.4	18.5	-3.15	15.1	12.9	2.17
Eddy Curry	47	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	17.6	16.1	1.47	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Jerome James	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	2	-6	18.6	16.5	2.17	14.1	14.1	0.06
Malik Rose	12	11	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	1	-4	17.8	16.7	1.17	10.5	14.5	-3.95
Jamal Crawford	99	98	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	16.5	24.7	-8.28	13.8	19.4	-5.59
Maurice Taylor	27	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	10	-22	18.8	16.1	2.74	15.0	13.7	1.25
David Lee	76	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.61	-5	3	-8	16.4	18.0	-1.63	13.3	15.9	-2.62
Trevor Ariza	30	31	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.51	-9	7	-16	18.0	16.3	1.70	15.6	13.4	2.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	61	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-8	18	14.0	14.2	-0.19	17.2	16.2	1.00
Andres Nocioni	41	40	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	0	2	13.1	14.7	-1.67	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Ben Gordon	87	91	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	4	-6	14.3	13.1	1.20	16.5	19.1	-2.59
Tyson Chandler	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-4	10	13.8	14.5	-0.74	18.0	15.3	2.68
Kirk Hinrich	76	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	-1	4	13.6	15.3	-1.65	16.8	16.7	0.15
Luol Deng	73	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	1	0	14.0	14.3	-0.27	16.2	18.2	-1.96
Chris Duhon	43	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	-1	4	14.5	13.8	0.67	17.5	16.4	1.04
Michael Sweetney	38	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	7	-12	15.2	13.4	1.71	17.0	16.7	0.33
Othella Harrington	37	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	14.9	13.6	1.23	16.1	17.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 134, OKC 137	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.96,1	88.8%
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	88.8%
ATL 84, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.74,1	88.6%