NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	3.9 [1046]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +18.0%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	1.4 [1032]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -11.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	37%	-0.05	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	11	80%	0.22	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	10	77%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	12	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.2	15.7	24.2	2.4	30.6	131.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.7%

MIL -8.1%

MIL -5.1%

IND +12.2%

MIL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.6	98.9	124.4	104.4
season	15.5	16.0		104.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	14.9	14.5	14.3	15.2
IND	17.9	14.5	17.5	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	11.0	15.4	-4.44	18.8	16.9	1.93
Reece Gaines	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.22	-9	-15	6	14.7	15.4	-0.73	17.8	16.7	1.14
Jermaine Jackson	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-16	8	13.6	15.6	-2.05	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Toni Kukoc	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-14	4	15.2	15.2	0.10	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Michael Redd	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-20	16	15.5	14.7	0.84	17.7	16.0	1.69
Dan Gadzuric	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-14	4	15.5	15.0	0.58	16.5	17.3	-0.85
Jamaal Magloire	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-15	6	15.8	14.5	1.27	17.5	16.4	1.11
Andrew Bogut	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-15	6	15.6	14.7	0.85	16.8	17.1	-0.31
Jiri Welsch	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	-5	-14	14.2	16.6	-2.40	16.1	18.2	-2.06
Bobby Simmons	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-9	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.18	17.1	16.8	0.34
T.J. Ford	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	-2	-20	15.7	12.5	3.20	17.1	16.3	0.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	51	48	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.23	31	-7	38	16.4	17.8	-1.40	16.4	13.8	2.62
Stephen Jackson	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	1	22	17.3	15.8	1.59	15.3	14.7	0.59
Fred Jones	48	46	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	5	14	16.2	17.9	-1.74	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Sarunas Jasikevicius	45	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.30	21	3	18	17.3	16.6	0.67	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Anthony Johnson	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	15	-6	17.1	16.7	0.40	15.4	14.7	0.69
Austin Croshere	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.25	15	9	6	17.1	16.8	0.31	14.1	16.1	-1.94
Jermaine O'Neal	57	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	28	-32	17.4	16.2	1.21	15.5	14.7	0.79
Eddie Gill	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	19	-14	18.8	16.9	1.93	11.0	15.4	-4.44
David Harrison	31	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	18	-12	17.4	16.8	0.62	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Danny Granger	46	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	29	-34	16.3	17.7	-1.47	15.0	15.4	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 73, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 82, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 76, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%