NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	11.3 [37]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +44.6%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	32.2 [84]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -33.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	-0.12	0.31	-0.02	10	35%	0.33	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.04
Eddie Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19	0.22	-0.01	0.02	11	83%	0.19	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	74%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Brian Cardinal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Burks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,-0.14	0.17	-0.28	0.03	14	76%	0.10	4	-0.23	14	86%	-0.20

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45	0.45	0.07	0.41	0.03	13	59%	0.49	2	-0.05	15	73%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.21	0.00	16	54%	0.28	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	14	62%	0.30	3	-0.17	9	100%	0.09
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	3	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.18,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27	-0.27	0.03	-0.25	0.04	14	59%	-0.07	4	-0.20	9	78%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33	-0.33	-0.14	-0.20	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	27.1	15.7	29.0	1.8	37.8	1.8	17.0	158.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.0%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +36.9%

MEM -14.0%

MEM -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	17.8	15.6	109.7	111.7	104.4
season	17.1	17.0		103.5	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	15.8	13.4	18.6	16.2	17.7	16.2
UTA	15.5	23.3	17.4	18.0	12.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	7	8	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-8	13	13.9	16.4	-2.54	23.6	17.3	6.37
Antonio Burks	21	22	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-10	17	15.4	16.4	-1.00	22.1	16.5	5.66
Brian Cardinal	20	22	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	0	-3	17.0	16.0	1.08	21.3	16.7	4.54
Dahntay Jones	39	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-10	17	14.8	17.2	-2.38	18.9	17.0	1.92
Lorenzen Wright	57	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	0	-3	17.1	14.7	2.42	17.1	18.8	-1.70
Mike Miller	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-5	7	15.6	16.7	-1.13	17.5	18.1	-0.63
Pau Gasol	83	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-3	3	16.2	16.4	-0.22	17.4	20.2	-2.81
Eddie Jones	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	3	-9	16.4	15.0	1.42	17.1	21.8	-4.69
Damon Stoudamire	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	7	-17	16.4	15.4	1.00	16.5	22.1	-5.66
Shane Battier	42	44	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.38	-14	11	-25	16.5	16.0	0.50	17.2	18.4	-1.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	59	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-7	17	17.9	17.7	0.22	17.5	13.9	3.56
Keith McLeod	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	16.9	24.0	-7.11	16.4	15.1	1.26
Deron Williams	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-6	15	15.8	22.6	-6.85	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Kris Humphries	16	16	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	14.7	18.4	-3.67	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Andrei Kirilenko	79	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	6	-9	17.7	18.1	-0.40	16.3	15.7	0.62
Matt Harpring	59	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	2	-1	17.7	18.0	-0.37	15.6	17.1	-1.48
Greg Ostertag	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	20.5	15.5	4.96	16.3	16.1	0.27
Robert Whaley	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	15.7	18.3	-2.58	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Jarron Collins	17	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	2	-1	17.6	17.8	-0.18	16.2	16.2	0.04
Milt Palacio	15	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	11	-19	24.7	16.5	8.25	17.0	16.1	0.92
Devin Brown	15	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	14	-25	23.7	16.7	6.98	14.1	16.5	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.74,1	90.4%
SAS 100, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.74,1	88.9%
GSW 115, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.92,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.95,1	87.3%